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Postby ajgnydc722 » Fri Feb 18, 2005 9:19 pm

SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:
CubsFan7724 wrote:I would be ok with drafting him in the late 4th or 5th round. But, you better have a .330 guy to balance out that .260 average.


While it's a little high for a standard league IMO, I'd tend to agree. The AVG is what scares me away, but if you count OBP or BB's he's a lot more valuable obviously.


What if you count BB and Ks like my league? 195 Ks makes me want to cross him out.
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Fri Feb 18, 2005 9:23 pm

ajgnydc722 wrote:
SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:
CubsFan7724 wrote:I would be ok with drafting him in the late 4th or 5th round. But, you better have a .330 guy to balance out that .260 average.


While it's a little high for a standard league IMO, I'd tend to agree. The AVG is what scares me away, but if you count OBP or BB's he's a lot more valuable obviously.


What if you count BB and Ks like my league? 195 Ks makes me want to cross him out.


Then it's a wash pretty much. :-b Most leauges beyond 5x5 usually count walks, so that's what I was intending with that assertion.
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Postby zeeko20 » Fri Feb 18, 2005 10:24 pm

bleach168 wrote:Dunn will hit 35 homers in his sleep. I can't believe they have him projected so low.


PECOTA is intentionally conservative with their mean projections. PECOTA only has Arod, Thome, and Pujols projected for more homers than Dunn, so they clearly recognize his power.
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Postby mrmarley » Fri Feb 18, 2005 10:49 pm

I can easily see him going at 4.7 in a 14-team league, but I agree, if he can be had at 5.10, he's a good value, even with that avg.
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Postby Yoda » Fri Feb 18, 2005 10:51 pm

quietstorm wrote:Dunn's "huge, gaping hole" is his plate discipline. He's too patient. He lets bad pitchers go by, and gets a lot of them called as strikes.

Personally, I expect 40 HR or so.


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