Worst of this SP bunch?

[ScurvyDog]

Jerome Williams, Brad Penny, Dontrell Willis, and Brian Lawrence

I have to leave one exposed during our expansion draft. They are all either $5 or $4, so it's not an issue. Keeper 5x5 league (NL-only). Which one do you leave out there?

I'm thinking Williams? Tough choice - I think Penny will have a great year (if healthy) - all should offer low ERA similar Wins.

HELP!

[rlee]

Penny has by far the highest ceiling, but his health also makes him the greatest risk. But I think he is so far better than all of the other pitchers you listed, he would be my choice without hesitation.

[J35J]

Penny

Willis

Williams
Lawrence

[ScurvyDog]

Thanks - I agree - but I should have named the post "worst of theis bunch?"

Who do you leave off the protection list?

[Talyn]

I would leave off Williams

[cordscords]

Brian Lawerence

[Spartans Rule]

I would drop Lawrence.

Penny and Willis are easy choices to keep.

Numbers-wise Williams and Lawrence are fairly similar, but the difference is that Williams is 23 and can hit the high 90s with his fastball, while Lawrence is 28 and relies on inducing groundballs. That gives Williams a lot more upside.

[J35J]

I'd probably leave off Lawrence because you know what you will get with him and Williams can do what Lawrence will do and has the potential to do better. They are both pretty close but I'd take the few more K's and the better upside with Williams.

[ScurvyDog]

What do you guys see for projections for Williams/Lawrence?

I have:

Lawrence - 16 W, 133 K, 3.88 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Williams - 13 W, 117 K, 3.99 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Thoughts?

[J35J]

J. Williams 12 - 13W 3.9ERA 1.25WHIP 130-135K

B. Lawrence 14W 3.95ERA 1.29WHIP 120-125K

this is where I have them