either way u go ur in good shape. both clubs have probably the best and 2nd best pitching coaches in basebal. ad zambrano can hopefully relax a lil more this year hoping that kid k and prior arre healthy
One area of caution would be the workload Zambrano had last season. He was one of only three pitchers in all of baseball to average 112 pitches per start (Livan Hernandez and Jason Schmidt being the other two).
On a side note, I tend to strongly disagree when people use innings pitched to discuss pitchers' workloads. Better pitchers get more batters out, and an inning pitched is just three batters retired (better pitchers throw fewer pitches per inning). Pitch counts are much more imporant, and specifically, games in which pitchers push further and further past the 100 pitch mark, when the risk for injury increases dramatically.
Maybe Zambrano's big frame will allow him to endure such a monsterous workload. However, with the Cubs bullpen situation, I wouldn't look for Baker (who has a strong track record of getting a lot of use out of his starting pitchers), to ease up on Zambrano's share of the team's innings. If Zambrano is going to continue to throw 200+ innings a season, you would hope for the sake of longevity that he'd become a little more efficient.
I think if Zambrano doesn't get worn out or injured, he'll best Hudson in fantasy worth, but his past and expected workload is something to consider.
So yeah, they're very close to each other in everything but K's. Hudson is more of a sure thing though, and Zam might start allowing HR's which Wrigley is notorious for. Other than that I see no reason that Zam shoudln't be taken before Hudson.
One, Wrigley is only home run friendly when the wind is blowing out, and two, Zambrano is a sinkerballer so most of the batted balls are ground balls and line drives. Anyways, go with Zambrano, he'll have similar stats in the other cats except for Ks, where he will kill Hudson.
I take Zambrano. Hudson is still a good sp, but nobody seems to care his K rate has been dropping fast for years, all the way down to a scary 4.9. Only his extreme g/f ratio is masking this. What if his K rate drops further, or he starts giving up fewer grounders? Problems with the era could happen.
CUBS, Wrigley had a 138 hr index last year, and 120 for the past 3 years.
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