The argument in a nutshell:
Last yr Arod was not a top 10 hitter - strictly by the numbers.
He projects to hit similar numbers this yr based on age, and most importantly, park effect.
Therefore, he isnt a top 3 pick.
If he hits .300,110,40,115,15 like j_d projects, he isnt a top 3 pick - those numbers arent good enough.
Thats the argument against Arod.