by Absolutely Adequate » Sun Feb 13, 2005 10:20 pm
I don't want to give my projections because I'll be laughed out of the room (again). But I do think that he'll outproduce Tim Hudson and Curt Schilling if that gives you an idea of how highly I think of him.
Absolutely Adequate wrote:I don't want to give my projections because I'll be laughed out of the room (again). But I do think that he'll outproduce Tim Hudson and Curt Schilling if that gives you an idea of how highly I think of him.
Oh, okay... 3.20 era, 15 wins, 140 strikeouts.
i actually like those projections AA yet i dont think that will be outproducing Hudson or Schilling
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Absolutely Adequate wrote:I don't want to give my projections because I'll be laughed out of the room (again). But I do think that he'll outproduce Tim Hudson and Curt Schilling if that gives you an idea of how highly I think of him.
Oh, okay... 3.20 era, 15 wins, 140 strikeouts.
I'm not laughing. Maybe 3.40 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, not a lot of K's (6 or so per 9), but after 17 years I think we can safely pencil him in for 15+ wins.
I just took him with pick #133 in a 7x7 league (K/BB + CG).
Probably a bit high compared to mock drafts, but while others are going for sexier, higher-ceiling guys, I've got a likely 15W and 200IP out a #3 (for me) starter. Again, not an exciting pick, but I'm pretty pleased with the likely numbers from that part of my rotation. Now I can gamble on the long-shot guys who might be the next Ollie Perez.
I like Maddux, but I'm not sure what everyone sees that would suggest he's capable of an ERA in the low 3s.
He's been at 3.96 and 4.02 the last two years. He gave up 35 HRs last year, and while he probably won't do that again that's a bad sign that his stuff is fading.
I've got Maddux down for 15 wins, 140 K, 4.03 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.
Those are solid numbers for the back end of your rotation, but I don't see him as a value pick.
sockeye wrote:I just took him with pick #133 in a 7x7 league (K/BB + CG).
Probably a bit high compared to mock drafts, but while others are going for sexier, higher-ceiling guys, I've got a likely 15W and 200IP out a #3 (for me) starter. Again, not an exciting pick, but I'm pretty pleased with the likely numbers from that part of my rotation. Now I can gamble on the long-shot guys who might be the next Ollie Perez.
Good luck.
The K/BB aspect helps Maddux's value. That's his strong suit.
sockeye wrote:I just took him with pick #133 in a 7x7 league (K/BB + CG).
Probably a bit high compared to mock drafts, but while others are going for sexier, higher-ceiling guys, I've got a likely 15W and 200IP out a #3 (for me) starter. Again, not an exciting pick, but I'm pretty pleased with the likely numbers from that part of my rotation. Now I can gamble on the long-shot guys who might be the next Ollie Perez.
Good luck.
The K/BB aspect helps Maddux's value. That's his strong suit.
Exactly. I would be doing back handsprings if he ended with an ERA at 3.4, let alone 3.2. I drafted him assuming a 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and a K/BB of somewhere around 4 to 1. 200 innings of that for a #3 will be fine in my deep league, so it was worth taking him a tad early and moving on to other concerns. Or so I hope.....I was unsure at first, but since then I've pretty much gotten the guys I wanted.