My league counts traditional 5x5 plus OBP and Total Bases and we need two starters at each infield position, which means both of these positions get rather thin later in the draft. At pick 14 overall, which should I take if both make it to me?
I would agree with taking Soriano. He's a second baseman and second base is not deep at all. I would argue 3rd base is deeper this year. Also, Soriano gets you SBs and I would expect a drop off for Beltre although I think his stats will still be very good and he still will be among the top third basemen. Just my opinion, but either way, getting Beltre or Soraino would be good.
I would take Beltre pretty easily. One player's trend is going up and the other's is going down. Even if Beltre experiences some drop-off, I'd still rather have him than Soriano. Stolen bases do not make a top player, especially in a league where OBP is counted.
I'd be surprised if Soriano is still on the board at 14, but if he is I would grab him. I'm bullish on Beltre this year, but Soriano is capable of posting overall numbers close to Beltre (people forget Soriano was a 40-40 monster just two years ago) and plays at much thinner 2B.
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It's not a first round pick, it's a second round pick, 14 overall. And though I agree 2b is far thinner than third, my league counts OBP, and Soriano just plain hurts there. Beltre didn't just have a "good" year, he had a great year with a .334 BA, 48 HR, and .388 OBP which includes a monster second half.
Secret Avatar wrote:I'd be surprised if Soriano is still on the board at 14, but if he is I would grab him. I'm bullish on Beltre this year, but Soriano is capable of posting overall numbers close to Beltre (people forget Soriano was a 40-40 monster just two years ago) and plays at much thinner 2B.
Precisely. Two years ago. I don't get why folks automatically think that Soriano will "bounce back" to his 40/40 days. I see no evidence to support that assumption. Actually, this seems to be the same thing people are doing with Zito, to a lesser extent. "Oh, he's got that crappy season out of his system -- now he'll go back to exactly the way he was before."
(BTW, nothing against you personally, Av, just something that irks me in general.)