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Guys devalued by RotoChamp compared to last year - Why

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Guys devalued by RotoChamp compared to last year - Why

Postby The_Idiot » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:29 pm

I was looking at the Rotochamp projected stats compared to last years stats specifically looking at the Roto Points. Can someone give me insite as to why the projected numbers for the following playes is so down compared to last years numbers

Lance Berkman - Last year Ranked 27 in Rotopoints
- This year projected Rank 97

Carl Pavano - Last year Ranked 66 in Rotoponts
- This year projected Rank 136

JD Drew - Last year 24
- This year projected 79

Randy Winn - Last year 75
- This year 156

Jeremy Burnitz - Last year 38
- This year 222

Rocco Baldelli - Last year 102
- This year 720

Thanks for the info on these guys!
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Postby slomo007 » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:31 pm

Berkman's injured and could miss the start of the season. Same for Baldelli.

Drew is an eternal injury risk.

Pavano had one good year and is now making a bold move to NY.

Burnitz sucks.

Winn is probably just a gut feeling they had that he won't repeat last years numbers...I guess it's probably the most controversial of the bunch.
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Postby ensanimal » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:33 pm

slomo007 wrote:Berkman's injured and could miss the start of the season. Same for Baldelli.

Drew is an eternal injury risk.

Pavano had one good year and is now making a bold move to NY.

Burnitz sucks.

Winn is probably just a gut feeling they had that he won't repeat last years numbers...I guess it's probably the most controversial of the bunch.


agree with everything said here. burnitz only put up decent number's because of coors.

pavano could surprise and do it again, i just wouldn't bank on it.
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Postby Dark Knight » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:33 pm

slomo007 wrote:Berkman's injured and could miss the start of the season. Same for Baldelli.

Drew is an eternal injury risk.

Pavano had one good year and is now making a bold move to NY.

Burnitz sucks.

Winn is probably just a gut feeling they had that he won't repeat last years numbers...I guess it's probably the most controversial of the bunch.


;-D , what slomo said.
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Postby BeefSandwiches » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:37 pm

slomo007 wrote:Berkman's injured and could miss the start of the season. Same for Baldelli.

Drew is an eternal injury risk.

Pavano had one good year and is now making a bold move to NY.

Burnitz sucks.

Winn is probably just a gut feeling they had that he won't repeat last years numbers...I guess it's probably the most controversial of the bunch.


Agreed that Burnitz sucks, but these rankings probably came out before the Cubs signing which improves his value SLIGHTLY.
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Postby thomasps3 » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:40 pm

I really don't think moving from Colorado to ChiTown is going to make Burnitz better. If anything, his numbers will drop. Huge K guy, and streakier than Will Ferrell in "Old School" lead me to belive his best days are well behind him, unless he stayed in Colorado...
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Postby Dark Knight » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:43 pm

thomasps3 wrote:I really don't think moving from Colorado to ChiTown is going to make Burnitz better. If anything, his numbers will drop. Huge K guy, and streakier than Will Ferrell in "Old School" lead me to belive his best days are well behind him, unless he stayed in Colorado...


Exactly. The only thing that made Burnitz a fantasy factor last season was hitting in Colorado. In Chicago you can expect his normal .240-25 HR season.
Last edited by Dark Knight on Wed Feb 09, 2005 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Niffoc4 » Wed Feb 09, 2005 2:27 pm

Berkman's injured and could miss the start of the season. Same for Baldelli.

Drew is an eternal injury risk.

Pavano had one good year and is now making a bold move to NY.

Burnitz sucks.

Winn is probably just a gut feeling they had that he won't repeat last years numbers...I guess it's probably the most controversial of the bunch.


I agree with all this, additionally Baldelli is also hurt and should not return until June.
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Postby AKhomebrewer » Wed Feb 09, 2005 3:52 pm

Most of these make sense. Berkman, Baldelli, Burnitz are definite downgrades because of injury and the Coors exodus factor. Pavano and Drew less so, but both are coming off career years and making moves to new situations (Pavano to a less favorable pitcher's park, Drew to a less favorable hitter's park).

I disagree with Winn, though. He had a hot second half after stinking it up early, but his final totals were right on his three-year averages ... and he ain't that old. I kinda like the idea of .295, 15 HR, 20+ SB in the back half of my draft.
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Postby Cooner » Wed Feb 09, 2005 3:58 pm

AKhomebrewer wrote:I disagree with Winn, though. He had a hot second half after stinking it up early, but his final totals were right on his three-year averages ... and he ain't that old. I kinda like the idea of .295, 15 HR, 20+ SB in the back half of my draft.


I agree... tack on the protection of Beltre and Sexson behind him, and Ichiro on base EVERY time in front of him, and Winn's numbers could definitely be looking up next year...
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