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Jeff Kent = buyer beware !!

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Jeff Kent = buyer beware !!

Postby NZF » Sat Feb 05, 2005 4:37 pm

Jeff Kent has steadily declined the last few years in Houston. That fact has been disguised somewhat because Minute Maid seriously favours right handed power hitters.

Just how much is shown by his splits the last 2 seasons playing for the Astros.

At home his average is .312
Away his average falls to .276

At home in 2003 and 2004 his OPS was .920
Away over the same period his OPS fell almost 100 points to a little over .820


Left handers have it much harder there. Possibly why there is no only left handed hitters in the Astros lineup. Carlos Beltran hit just .224 and had an OPS of barely .780 while hitting there in 2004 (the majority of these AB's as a switch hitting leftie).


So moving now to Dodger Stadium where he is only a .250 career hitter, will no longer hide his steady recent decline. He turns 37 next month, his 2005 numbers will be average at best.

He is possibly recognised as the No. 1 and almost definitely at least the No. 2 power hitter in a very scarce 2B position. For this reason his stock is high. He is over valued, buyer beware.
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Postby CubsFan7724 » Sat Feb 05, 2005 4:44 pm

Wow, nice post, thanks for the headsup. I hadn't realized how bad those away splits were...
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Postby Members Only Jackets » Sat Feb 05, 2005 5:00 pm

I couldn't agree more! Thanks for the heads up...
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Postby RAmst23 » Sat Feb 05, 2005 5:10 pm

Yea, thanks for heads up! :-)

Is this one of those years where you draft a 2B because you have to? I mean really, the top tier 2B aren't really going to post significantly better numbers than the lower tier. Probably the smallest gap from the top 2B to the lowest. Is this a position where you just sit back and draft a guy in the late rounds?
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Postby George_Foreman » Sat Feb 05, 2005 5:16 pm

i've got a hunch that marcus giles and mark loretta will perform a bit better than robby alomar, but maybe that's just me.

oh, and then there's soriano...
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Postby NZF » Sat Feb 05, 2005 5:16 pm

Yes I'm going to sit back, unless Soriano happened to be at the right place in the draft.

Chase Utley is my 2B steal in the later rounds. I really see him posting as good, if not better overall numbers than Kent. If for some reason I miss him, then I'll try to get Keith Ginter.
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Postby eftda » Sat Feb 05, 2005 5:27 pm

Depending at how you look at it and how fast you can snag a stud, 2nd base is pretty deep.
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Postby duckbillgates » Sat Feb 05, 2005 5:37 pm

New Zealand Fan wrote:Yes I'm going to sit back, unless Soriano happened to be at the right place in the draft.

Chase Utley is my 2B steal in the later rounds. I really see him posting as good, if not better overall numbers than Kent. If for some reason I miss him, then I'll try to get Keith Ginter.


Shhh, keep it down. I don't want Utley getting any attention before I draft him ten rounds after Kent is gone.
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Postby DieHardCubbie » Sat Feb 05, 2005 6:54 pm

duckbillgates wrote:
New Zealand Fan wrote:Yes I'm going to sit back, unless Soriano happened to be at the right place in the draft.

Chase Utley is my 2B steal in the later rounds. I really see him posting as good, if not better overall numbers than Kent. If for some reason I miss him, then I'll try to get Keith Ginter.


Shhh, keep it down. I don't want Utley getting any attention before I draft him ten rounds after Kent is gone.


ain't no secrets around this place.... ;-)

Nice post NZF.... ;-D
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Postby Members Only Jackets » Sat Feb 05, 2005 6:55 pm

ahh I forgot about Utley. Thanks
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