No doubt Rolen does play in the better RBI situation. I only posted the similarity of Rolen's 2004 career year turnaround and the inuendo that it was inconcievable for Chavez to achieve something similar as food for thought. As soon as I read it I thought, didn't Rolen (one the the very players being held up) just do THAT?? The reason it struck me straight off is I've always seen them as very similar players. Since landing full time gigs Rolen has had a slightly better AVG (altho steakier) and Chavie (despite being hobbled by that pitcher's park) has the slightly better HR rate. Both have shown the propensity to drive in runs and steal bases at similar rates.
FWIW most prognosticators don't see 2005 much differently. The 2 guys sort out side by side in the early 6x6 hitters ranks. This is based entirely on the average of the projections I've found to date. I haven't interjected my own biases yet, like I will when I create my own cheatsheets. Actually, seeing Beltre isn't getting his props either, and so this might be more useful to everyone, here's the early average projections (per the so called experts) on all 8 3B being discussed:
AROD: 619AB / 44HR / 20SB / 120R / 118RBI / .300 / .974
BELTRE: 595AB / 35HR / 6SB / 99R / 110RBI / .304 / .911
CHAVEZ: 566AB / 35HR / 7SB / 99R / 106RBI / .291 / .937
ROLEN: 534AB / 32HR / 7SB / 101R / 111RBI / .297 / .940
BLALOCK: 600AB / 32HR / 2SB / 104R / 109RBI / .294 / .902
HUFF: 599AB / 30HR / 4SB / 90R / 103RBI / .304 / .886
ARAMIS: 556AB / 34HR / 1SB / 91R / 101RBI / .294 / .894
(note: the expert's would insert Wright, Chipper and Lowell here)
MORA: 538AB / 22HR / 10SB / 98R / 86RBI / .297 / .853
GreenMonsterGoon wrote:I don't understand how you can call a player with Blalock's productation
A Year away
Blalock had a monster slump last year and for his career has struggled against lefties.
yeah except Blalock was injured when his numbers dipped and he had a higher batting average against lefties than against righties. And he is 3 or 4 years younger thna Chavez.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
I couple weeks ago I went to a hitting/coaching clinic and Ken Macha was there. He was discussing Chavez in particular. He expects him to be Top 2 3B this upcoming year due to changes and enhancements of his swing. He claims to have been working hard in the off season on his swing. Not sure to what effect
SHOCKandAWE wrote:I couple weeks ago I went to a hitting/coaching clinic and Ken Macha was there. He was discussing Chavez in particular. He expects him to be Top 2 3B this upcoming year due to changes and enhancements of his swing. He claims to have been working hard in the off season on his swing. Not sure to what effect
There's no doubt that Chavez is a very talanted hitter...probably #2 or #3 in the majors at 3B. But that doesn't mean he'll be that highly ranked in fantasy. His team has disintegrated around him and he won't have the opportunities to put up the same numbers as Beltre, Rolen, and Blalock.
Chavez is an underrated hitter and an overrated fantasy player.
"Every government interference in the economy consists of giving an unearned benefit, extorted by force, to some men at the expense of others."-Ayn Rand
I like Chavez this year... I think he'll give you better value than those other 3 because he'll be picked later than he should while A-Rod and Rolen will be picked far too early IMO.
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"I've got your phone number written, in the back of my Bible."
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by dannahann » Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:36 am 
