LBJackal wrote:Lilly had a lot of luck last season. I think his ERA will be about 4.46 so I'd take Lowry and Benson over him. Lilly could post someting closer to 4 but I won't take my chances.
Over the past three years, Lilly has never had an era over 4.36, so I'm not sure what your projections are based on. Also, I don't know if you can say Lilly had "a lot of luck" when he held opponents to a .230 BA, which was [b]second-lowest
in the league[/b]. By contrast, Benson had ERAs of 4.97, 4.50, and 4.31, and opponents batted .263 against him last year. I don't see how the numbers can say Benson is better than Lilly, and its all about the numbers.