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A Heads up for Prospectus Subscribers

Postby Wozzyck » Tue Jan 25, 2005 10:39 pm

Baseball Prospectus' (initial) 2005 PECOTA projections have been posted here:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/

They haven't forecasted the team/lineup dependent stats yet (i.e. RBI, W, etc.), but most of the stuff is there. Enjoy. (Note: You need to subscribe to have access.)
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Postby RynMan » Tue Jan 25, 2005 11:55 pm

Thanks!! ;-D
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Postby RynMan » Wed Jan 26, 2005 4:51 pm

The PECOTA projections have nobody hitting over 40 HR's!! The highest is Pujols with a projected 39. Interesting.... :-?
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Postby Wozzyck » Wed Jan 26, 2005 7:10 pm

I remember last year the projections being rather stingy, but these seem even a bit more so. Projections for a great majority of position players are regressed, so flashy forecasts aren't too common, though BP favorite Adam Dunn ain't lookin too bad.

Another thing to consider is the less than generous expected playing time. This tends to get remedied when they release their more fantasy-oriented projection sheets in late Feb/early March.
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Postby JTWood » Wed Jan 26, 2005 8:32 pm

RynMan wrote:The PECOTA projections have nobody hitting over 40 HR's!! The highest is Pujols with a projected 39. Interesting.... :-?

They must really be putting some stock in the steroid thing.
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