Wanted to say first of all thanks alot for posting all this.
1. Your projections are awesome - nice to see someone with enuf balls to air his laundry for the world to see.
2. Your explanations on how to do it - that's even better.(Give a man a fish - he'll eat for a day, teach him to fish, he'll beat you in fantasy baseball.)
I did want to mention a few spots i thought you had guys ranked really high or low - I'm not saying i'm right and you're wrong but a few guys really stood out to me as a little bit out of place.
I think dropping Magglio to $13 is pretty low. And Garret Anderson at $14. they are both quality outfielders and EVEN If their price is too high - you must realize on name value alone they will draw a lot higher price.
Preston Wilson at $3 is HUGELY undervalued. He should go for 12 or more.
I personnally think Luis Gonzales is worth more than $10 but that's ones probably not very far off.
I think Vidro is also hugely undervalued. You have him at $7. He has to be at least a top 6 2B, and similar players priced twice that(loretta boone and giles at $15,16,17) No Way does vidro deserve half price.
Randy Winn @$15? I don't think he's even guaranteed to play the OF every day. he's listed on rototimes as a backup player. (It really stood out to me cause he was above magglio and garrett anderson)
D Wright at $15? he seems high too, maybe you can spend that much in a dynasty league - but for a redraft I'd have trouble spending more than 6 or 7. I guess you project him pretty high - but generally more rookies bust than make it (6 out of 22 make a real life fantasy impact)
Khalil greene at $3? This kid is the real deal. I'd bump him up a few bucks.....
Willy mo pena at $11>? thats more than you give for luis gonzales....(gonzales had 25+ HR and 100+ rbis five straight seasons(98-2003) with career avg of .288. Pena has never had over 350 ABs, and while he did have a good season last year that doesn't say much if he can carry that over to this year. His career BA is .241)
I did not pull these examples out to make your results look bad -
over all your results look great - it looks like you put a lot of time and effort into it and to find - 8 or 10 mistakes in 300+ players looks pretty good to me.
My main thing was to help you adjust hopefully, but more importantly to tell everyone that once you do your projections - make sure you go back and sanity check them.
Everyonce in a while when we get too much into the math and we forget about the reality of baseball.
Averages, stats, excel sheets, formulas and VORPs are all great but if you forget that preston wilson plays in coors field and is just once season removed from being a top 10 outfielder, (he had 5 straight seasons averaging 28 HR and 20 SB)
if you forget to include that info - it's going to really throw your efforts off base a little.