I'm having this exact debate myself since I have the number 5 pick in my re-draft league. Of the guys listed, I'm currently debating between RJ and Helton. I figure RJ will get 20 winx with the Yanks, his Ks will drop by about 30 or so, but they'll still be top of the line, and his E.R.A. and W.H.I.P. should be comparable to what he's done in the past, 2003 excluded. If you're more of the guy that likes the safe, solid pick, scoop up Helton. Pretty much guaranteed for 35+ bombs, .320+ avg, 110+ rbis, 100+ runs.
When you come to a fork in the road, take it.
Yogi Berra
Hmmm that's tough. First of all, A-Rod isn't in my top 5 so I'll have to look at 2 others to accompany Beltran, Pujols, and Vlad in my top 5. Miggy is tempting, but he's had on and off years. Will he hit around 270, or around 310? Will hsi OPS be around 900, or around 800? I'd probably take Manny with my #4 pick, and I'd be hesitant to do it, but I might even take Soriano with my #5 pick. He has so much room for improvemetn in his power stats taht I can't ignore it, now that I think about it more, and even though his SB's will be limited, if he eraches 20 and also reaches the power stats I figure he'll get, top 5 doens't seem so far fetched. So I guess my top 5 rounds out like this:
1. Beltran
2. Pujols
3. Vlad
4. Manny
5. Soriano
A-Rod would follow closely after Soriano... asme with Helton. I just don't trust Helton that much; if he's traded he loses a ton of value, and the Rockies are just plain awful anyway. Of their top 3 OPS hitters last year with at least 500 AB's, only Helton remains. Burnitz and Castilla are gone. Walker, arguably their best hitter, is also gone. If you were disappointed by Helton's R/RBI last year, wait till 2005, it doesn't look very promising.
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Rhymes_T79 wrote:its between helton and abreu for me. seems like abreu gettin no love up in here! I VOTE ABREU!
be careful with that. Some might suggest he had a career yr and his SBs might drop back to his avg range. Dont get me wrong - I like Abreu, but I liked him a lot more when he was a 3rd rd pick last yr - not a borderline top 5 as most rankings have him listed.
I'm not exactly a Soriano believer and I don't like to take pitchers early, so the five pick comes down to a very difficult choice between these three guys...
Tejada
Manny
Helton
...I'd rank them like that, but its hard to go wrong with any of them.
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yea helton's value is dropping a little by little...he has not many good players around him..preston wilson is always banged up and walker is gone so who is gonna drive him in or who is he gonna drive in?
i would definetly take miggy at that spot...he was a monster last yr. and no reason why he can't do it again.
I am gonna say Helton but not write it in stone. I could also go Tejada or Manny. I dont usually like to take a pitcher with my first pick so I think I will pass on Santana....and I wont be drafting Randy this year as I'm too worried about injuries etc.
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by rodg12 » Fri Jan 07, 2005 3:45 pm 
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