West wrote:it's just a hunch of mine, i don't see a huge drop, i just am thinking he'll steal about 10 fewer than last season. i think if giambi comes back to hit well in the #4 spot then torre will not run arod as much (assuming arod will be hitting 3rd?) but your guess is as good as mine, i could be wrong.
Giambi will absolutely not be hitting 4th, especially not in your scenario. With Alex hitting 3rd, that puts Gary Sheffield 4th, followed by Matsui. Bernie then Posada are likely next, leaving Giambi likely to bat 8th. IF he produces like he used to, I can still only see him hitting 6th after Matsui at this point.
On the topic though, I personally don't think Alex's SB will fall off dramatically, but my prediction is about 22. (And yes I did just pull that number out of nowhere)