I have often heard that leagues are won in the middle rounds of the draft, I believe that. I was in my first 5 x 5 league this past year and we are keeping 10 players. I decided to do a study (non-scientific) on where players were drafted before the season, and how they eventually produced.
I rated players as A-Top producer, B-above average producer, C-average producer (waiver wire material), D-Non producer. I then looked at where the producers were drafted based on position.
Here are the results:
Catchers Rounds 11-15 A-0, B-2, C-1, D-0....66.7% (A or B)
Rounds 16-20 A-0, B-0, C-2, D-2.....0.0%
Rounds 21-25 A-1, B-0, C-0, D-0...100.0%
Rounds 26-30 A-0, B-1, C-2, D-2....20.0%
GreenMonsterGoon wrote:I always feel like barring injuries, the top is relatively even across the board. It is where true projections come in that we start to find unique values.
I always concentrate on rating those middle round players. You're hunch is quite accurate.
i agree-assuming everyone has a fairly even split of 1-10 breakouts and busts, what you get after 10 goes a long way towards your depth. for instance, last year I drafted Loretta as my 2B backup, and that put me in an excellent trading position.
Really cool run-down, I've thought that too. In most leagues everyone knows the all-stars, some players might get picked a little too high due to being overrated, but generally everyone picks ok. Research pays off in the middle rounds, and late rounds are often larger risks.
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike