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Brandon Webb; Predictions

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Postby eftda » Sat Jan 01, 2005 3:01 pm

High to an extent, this is what I have written down for Lowry:

12-7
114 K's
4.20 era
1.39 whip

His changeup was why he was so strong in 2004, but I think other teams will be ready for it in 05.
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Postby West » Sat Jan 01, 2005 4:55 pm

webb - 10-12 wins 4.20 era 1.40 whip. who knows how many he'll k, probably alot but i'd only risk a late round pick on webb.
webb kept his era low because batters still only batted .248 off him in '04, but as everyone else mentioned, the walks total killed him. not to mention arizona's offense.
last year i could've had santana early on through trading webb and luis gonzalez - what a deal that would have been. but webb was still pitching relatively ok and santana's era was over 4. if only i had known...
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Postby trevisc » Sat Jan 01, 2005 6:34 pm

I agree with West's stats to some degree. I think his ERA could even be higher then 4.20
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Postby Jer19G » Sun Jan 02, 2005 12:34 pm

dleoboyd wrote:

9-12 Wins, 4.21 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 160K


I agree with these projections. Webb's K/BB ratio scares me. I will let someone else take him in the draft.
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Postby JDD » Wed Jan 05, 2005 4:55 pm

If walks is a pitching category in your league, Webb is your man.
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Postby jonnyblack » Wed Jan 05, 2005 5:08 pm

Brandon Webb's Stats

2003

10-9 - 172k's - 68bb - 2.84ERA - 1.15WHIP - .212BAA

2004

7-16 - 164k's - 119BB - 3.59ERA - 1.50WHIP - .248BAA

Well obviously, he lost the plate, and hitters hit 36 points better. He pitched 27.1 more innings (180.2 - 208.0). Looks to me like a slide or an injury. I'm not sure I buy into him being in RJ's shadow, especially with all those walks. Maybe Arizona's poor season had something to do with it, but if a guy can't find the plate, he doesn't belong on my fantasy team. The rise in BB's and decrease in k's with more innings suggest that hitters have made an adjustment to him. A third year for a pitcher is extremely important, and if he doesn't make an adjustment, he will fall into the "one year wonder club." Be wary of overpaying for him this year.
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Postby Dans » Wed Jan 05, 2005 5:17 pm

I owned Webb last year and the one thing I can remember is that he got lucky with unearned runs last year. I remeber everytime I'd watch he'd let a couple guys on base and then someone would make an error. the scorekeepers kept his ERA down quite a bit last year. I looked it up. He had 83 ER in 208 IP for an ERA of 3.59. But he had 28 unearned runs. That's huge. I expect his ERA to be much higher than that in 2005.
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