I would expect his numbers to stay the same or maybe decline slightly just because most were above his career averages (especially SB and HR and R to a lesser extent). I would think his RBI, AVG, and BB if you count those will stay the same if not go up slightly. I guess that's not really an answer to your question, but that's the best I can come up with right now.
eftda - I dont know of a reason to project a fundamental shift in numbers for Abreu - no major injuries to report, no change in scenery, no major protection changes. Feel free to consider him one of the most valuable 5 tool players around. And, at the end of the 1st rd - where Ive seen him go pretty regularly recently - they are still undervaluing him.
I expect solid 5-tool numbers for him next year. I'd discount his steals and homers a bit, to keep them more in line with his historical performance. Something along the lines of 305 BA, 23 HR, 108 runs, 100 RBI, and 30 steals with 575 ABs.
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eftda wrote:Phillies lineup didn't change much so shouldn't his numbers stay he same. Maybe more RBIS with Lofton, but will he run as much as he use too?
a slight decrease should be expected as 2004 will probably be his career year....but as far as injury, or team change nothing like that affects him this offseason...... a slight decrease though but he will still be very,very valuable.......
Secret Avatar wrote:I expect solid 5-tool numbers for him next year. I'd discount his steals and homers a bit, to keep them more in line with his historical performance. Something along the lines of 305 BA, 23 HR, 108 runs, 100 RBI, and 30 steals with 575 ABs.
I agree with everything here except I would add 4-5 hr to this.
CubsFan7724 wrote:Abreu is mini-Beltan. Don't hesitate to take him if you have a mid to late first round pick.
I agree. With maybe the exception of SB's and HR's I think Abreu could realistically outperform or at least be comprable to Beltran fantasy wise, and he will come probably a round later or so in most drafts.
I wouldn't take Abreu before the end of the 2nd. I'm a little skeptical about his ability to repeat his 2004 HR's and SB's.
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by eftda » Mon Dec 27, 2004 3:14 pm 
