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Jake Peavy Projections

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Postby dleoboyd » Fri Dec 24, 2004 2:12 pm

I don't think the ballpark will affect his numbers all that much one way or the other. There is no doubt Peavy is talented, but he's not as good as he looked after coming back from injury last season. Here is my projection for 2005:


12-14 W, 3.57 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 186 K, 205 IP
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Postby Zito is God » Fri Dec 24, 2004 2:41 pm

His ERA is just ridiculous.

I wonder why you guys are bumping his ERA more then a full run from last season.
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Postby mtarail » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:01 pm

Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.
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Postby Bloody Nipples » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:05 pm

mtarail wrote:Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.


I think it would be better than top 5 in that case. Any starter who gets any kind of Ks and wins with a 2.27 ERA would probably be the #1 pitcher.
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Postby mtarail » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:16 pm

Bloody Nipples wrote:
mtarail wrote:Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.


I think it would be better than top 5 in that case. Any starter who gets any kind of Ks and wins with a 2.27 ERA would probably be the #1 pitcher.


True. If he repeats his '04 stats and stays healthy all year he should win the Cy.
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Re: so basically,

Postby shortsavage » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:17 pm

wrveres wrote:
GreenMonsterGoon wrote:You were full of bull that an adjustment was made and spoke as if you were the GM of the Padres?

Come on dude!


whatever !!!

There was tons of talk about changes bieng made to that park, during and after the '04 season. Short was simply saying that if they did it could hurt him.


Hehe, thanks for backing me up wveres.
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Postby shortsavage » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:20 pm

mtarail wrote:
Bloody Nipples wrote:
mtarail wrote:Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.


I think it would be better than top 5 in that case. Any starter who gets any kind of Ks and wins with a 2.27 ERA would probably be the #1 pitcher.


True. If he repeats his '04 stats and stays healthy all year he should win the Cy.


I don't see why he did not get more votes in '04. He was deadly. I flew to San Diego to see him pitch twice (ok, it was coincidental, but I was very pleased).
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Postby Tavish » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:26 pm

shortsavage wrote:I don't see why he did not get more votes in '04. He was deadly. I flew to San Diego to see him pitch twice (ok, it was coincidental, but I was very pleased).


He only pitched 166 innings. A full season at the rate he was pitching he definitely would have been part of the top group in the voting.
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Postby shortsavage » Fri Dec 24, 2004 4:45 pm

Tavish wrote:
shortsavage wrote:I don't see why he did not get more votes in '04. He was deadly. I flew to San Diego to see him pitch twice (ok, it was coincidental, but I was very pleased).


He only pitched 166 innings. A full season at the rate he was pitching he definitely would have been part of the top group in the voting.


Yes. However, he did throw enough to win the ERA title. I thought that would be worth more than it cashed in for in the voting.
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Postby john gardner » Fri Dec 24, 2004 9:46 pm

The big question seems to be what sort of run support he'll get. I don't recall any big Padres signings, or did I miss something???
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