I don't think the ballpark will affect his numbers all that much one way or the other. There is no doubt Peavy is talented, but he's not as good as he looked after coming back from injury last season. Here is my projection for 2005:
12-14 W, 3.57 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 186 K, 205 IP
We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then, is not an act, but a habit.
Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.
Bluto: Over? Did you say over? NOTHING is over until WE decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? HELL, NO!
Otter: Germans?
Boon: Forget it, he's rolling.
mtarail wrote:Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.
I think it would be better than top 5 in that case. Any starter who gets any kind of Ks and wins with a 2.27 ERA would probably be the #1 pitcher.
mtarail wrote:Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.
I think it would be better than top 5 in that case. Any starter who gets any kind of Ks and wins with a 2.27 ERA would probably be the #1 pitcher.
True. If he repeats his '04 stats and stays healthy all year he should win the Cy.
Bluto: Over? Did you say over? NOTHING is over until WE decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? HELL, NO!
Otter: Germans?
Boon: Forget it, he's rolling.
GreenMonsterGoon wrote:You were full of bull that an adjustment was made and spoke as if you were the GM of the Padres?
Come on dude!
whatever !!!
There was tons of talk about changes bieng made to that park, during and after the '04 season. Short was simply saying that if they did it could hurt him.
mtarail wrote:Just speaking for myself, its because I think its unrealistic to expect him to repeat last years ERA #'s. I think he'll be great, but not that unhittable. Of course, if he does finish '05 with a 2.27 ERA he'll be a top 5 pitcher.
I think it would be better than top 5 in that case. Any starter who gets any kind of Ks and wins with a 2.27 ERA would probably be the #1 pitcher.
True. If he repeats his '04 stats and stays healthy all year he should win the Cy.
I don't see why he did not get more votes in '04. He was deadly. I flew to San Diego to see him pitch twice (ok, it was coincidental, but I was very pleased).
shortsavage wrote:I don't see why he did not get more votes in '04. He was deadly. I flew to San Diego to see him pitch twice (ok, it was coincidental, but I was very pleased).
He only pitched 166 innings. A full season at the rate he was pitching he definitely would have been part of the top group in the voting.
shortsavage wrote:I don't see why he did not get more votes in '04. He was deadly. I flew to San Diego to see him pitch twice (ok, it was coincidental, but I was very pleased).
He only pitched 166 innings. A full season at the rate he was pitching he definitely would have been part of the top group in the voting.
Yes. However, he did throw enough to win the ERA title. I thought that would be worth more than it cashed in for in the voting.