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Pavano in 2005?

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Pavano in 2005?

Postby Secret Avatar » Mon Dec 13, 2004 7:47 pm

Now that Pavano is (or almost certainly will be) a Yankee, what's the word on what we can expect from him next year?

He pitched amazingly well last year against big hitting teams like St. Louis (1.13 ERA) and in big pitchers parks like Coors (2.81 ERA). In addition, his numbers were much better on the road than at home.

My projections look something like 3.5 ERA, 17 wins, 135 K, and 1.20 WHIP.
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Postby Tony Clark is my son » Mon Dec 13, 2004 7:51 pm

Pavano will probably have a higher ERA, as he's in the AL, with the Yankees (pressue pressure), and at Yankee Stadium, which, while not quite Coors, is less of a pitcher's park than Pro Player. I say 4ish ERA and around 16-17 wins. Next year, I expect the ERA to drop, just as I expect Vazquez's to this year. I don't care how prepared he is to deal with pressure, very rarely is a player's best year with the Yankees his first.
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:06 pm

I think most people here know I'm not exactly high on him, so take that for what it's worth. My prediction:
15-11
4.40ERA
1.50WHIP
140K's
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Postby Dawgpound 1613 » Mon Dec 13, 2004 9:00 pm

15 W
3.90 ERA
1.30 WHIP
150 K in app. 200 IP
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Postby raiders_umpire » Mon Dec 13, 2004 9:04 pm

Dawgpound 1613 wrote:15 W
3.90 ERA
1.30 WHIP
150 K in app. 200 IP




looks pretty good to me ;-D
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Postby Tavish » Mon Dec 13, 2004 9:10 pm

I highly doubt Pavano will get 150 K's. He is a Jamie Moyer style pitcher who isn't going to get over 6 K's/9IP let alone come near 7 especially without facing a pitcher 2-3 times a game. I would say 110 in 200 IP is closer.
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Postby El Gaupo » Mon Dec 13, 2004 9:53 pm

SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:I think most people here know I'm not exactly high on him, so take that for what it's worth. My prediction:
15-11
4.40ERA
1.50WHIP
140K's


I would lower whip to 1.25 and k's to 125
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Postby mtarail » Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:48 pm

I wasn't thinking that Pavano was gonna come near last year's #'s if he remained a Marlin. Now, with all the Yankee and AL factors that everyone has mentioned, there's no way I'd draft him before the 10th round.
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Postby trevisc » Mon Dec 13, 2004 11:12 pm

i'm thinking something like 4.30 1.30 12 wins 140ks
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Postby slomo007 » Mon Dec 13, 2004 11:24 pm

My only prediction is this: Pavano won't be on any of my rosters.
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