A few random thoughts on Beltre.
1. Dodger stadium doesn't really cut down on home runs as much as it does batting average and doubles and triples, and run production. The dodgers OFFENSE does cut way down on a good players RBI's tho! Right handed pull hitters can put up some decent HR totals there the way the park is shaped, and Beltre took advantage of it a great deal last year. A lot of hits that would have been doubles to left field in any other park actually were HR's.
I don't dare to predict what he might do at safeco until I see that lineup, but it is definitely a tougher HR park than dodger stadium.
2. The dudes power is legit. I'm not sure how (roids, ahem?) I don't know, really, 2.5 years to recover from a botched surgery? I don't know. BUT I'll tell you this. He was the only guy I saw at Petco that could consistently knock the ball WELL out of the park. Sure some of that is BP, but power-wise, I don't think its a fluke. It makes me a little mad because of the timing of his breakout season, and how long the Dodgers stuck with him.
3. Predictability-wise; the guy just scares me. As legit as the power is, I would worry greatly about the guy signing a huge contract (which he will) and production tailing off into a middle-of-the-road status beween last year, and previous years...say 30-100-.290. Not bad, but I'll probably let someone else in my leagues take a chance on him as I grab a more predictable asset. If they're right then great...hats off.