SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:I wouldn't think of drafting him unless it's a very very deep or deep NL only. First base is pretty deep, and he won't get much PT probably, especially if he only gets starts against righties like has been the case in the past.
I agree. In my mind there is no doubt his PT will be limited. I think that he could end up with 15-20 HRs and a .250 average, in a limited role (less than 400 AB). If something happens and he ended up being an every day player, I don't think that a 30 HR season is beyond the realm of possibility.
I agree. He doesn't have a job, as of now, and until he proves he can hit, and hit lefties, he won't get more than 400 AB in a platoon job.
He draws some walks, but I read he could be tied up with inside fastballs and, as people learned this, he struggled, especially when he got to LA. If he can adjust, he could become Adam Dunn lite (as others have said - .250-.260/30HR/85 RBI). Until then, I agree that .250 (likely less) and 15 HR in 400 AB. Only useful in very deep ML or NL only leagues.
Dawgpound 1613
Major League Manager
Posts: 2095
Joined: 7 Oct 2004
Bases this season: 0
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: \Lo*ca"tion\, n. 1. The act or process of locating. 2. Situation; place; locality.
if you like a guy who will hit .250-260 with 30-35 homers then go for it. In a h2h league you need a guy who is a little more consistant at 1B in order to compete
trevisc
Hall of Fame Hero
Posts: 11271
Joined: 6 Jan 2003
Bases this season: 0
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2004,2005 Keeper League Champion
There are a number of players who have had a tough time adjusting to the ballpark in LA but who have turned it around when given enough time.
Choi has the power but it will take a while for the BA to catch up. He is great to draft late or buy cheap and stash on your bench until he gets in a groove. He is an excellent keeper
SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:I wouldn't think of drafting him unless it's a very very deep or deep NL only. First base is pretty deep, and he won't get much PT probably, especially if he only gets starts against righties like has been the case in the past.
I agree. In my mind there is no doubt his PT will be limited. I think that he could end up with 15-20 HRs and a .250 average, in a limited role (less than 400 AB). If something happens and he ended up being an every day player, I don't think that a 30 HR season is beyond the realm of possibility.
Even then your AVG will take a serious hit. I don't see him over .250ish at best. In 323 career AB's he's only batting .251. I'll take Dunn's AVG since I know he'll be getting the PT which means HR and BB.