I think he still has upside. He played pretty good the 1st part of last year. In a real deep mixed or NL only league I wouldnt mind to take a late pick on him.
i dont really like him, his low average really bothers me although he did have it up this year even though it was still pretty low if it was any other average player
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He reminds me of Adam Dunn with high strikeout rates and high walk rates. He rarely ever swings unless the pitch is perfect like Dunn and both have long loopy swings. However, last year when Dunn swung, a good percentage went over the fence. Choi was like that in April but then tailed off.
I guess what I'm trying to say is that a best case scenario for him is what Adam Dunn did last year, but the odds are very slim. I think he'll peak at .270 and low 30 HR's in a couple of years. Next year, he'll platoon at first and hit .260ish with 20-25 HR's.
I wouldn't think of drafting him unless it's a very very deep or deep NL only. First base is pretty deep, and he won't get much PT probably, especially if he only gets starts against righties like has been the case in the past.
SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:I wouldn't think of drafting him unless it's a very very deep or deep NL only. First base is pretty deep, and he won't get much PT probably, especially if he only gets starts against righties like has been the case in the past.
I agree. In my mind there is no doubt his PT will be limited. I think that he could end up with 15-20 HRs and a .250 average, in a limited role (less than 400 AB). If something happens and he ended up being an every day player, I don't think that a 30 HR season is beyond the realm of possibility.
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