Erboes wrote:Since Rotoguys.com is the only projection service that predicted his decline last season, I feel that is my duty to explain here once again why: His bat has slowed to the point where he has to cheat to hit a home run. This not only drags down his average, but also it makes him commit to swinging even at pitches way out of the strike zone, which is why his selectivity stinks at this point in his career. Worse still is his numbers last season were aided by the wind blowing out in Wrigley. If it wasn't his numbers would have been even worse. If he gets traded to the Mets you can expect worse numbers to the point where he is dropped from the line up all together by the end of the season. Jackal is right, Cameron is a much better option.
By the way, baseball projections will be available on Rotoguys.com some point later today.
The normal path of a slugger. As they get older, they need to open up a little more, start their swings a little sooner, swing at more bad balls, etc. Throw in the drop due to being off steroids, and I see .250/30HR. As for getting more AB, I'm not so sure. Presuming he was on steroids, lots of evidence showing that they do wicked things to your body after extended use. Throwing out his back while sneezing seems weird to me. I'm guessing more aches and pains and not much chance of 500+ AB.