And stealing bases wouldn't be Beltran's job? I think it would be, and I imagine he'd bat 2nd (should probably be leadoff.... but then again A-Rod should
be playing SS). It's a difference of opinion, but I think he'll get a ton of SB's.
The difference between Beltran and Vlad/Maggs - 2 other power hitting guys whose SB's went way down - is that Beltran is a very successful basestealer. Vlad was never good at it, he just attempted a lot. Maggs was successful 77% of the time for that 3 year span he actually stole bases (73 attempted), which is good but the next 3 years he only attempted 28 total, and was only successful 57% of the time. That's more of getting worse at stealing bases (either because of injury or age, I don't know but he got a lot worse) leading to not doing it, rather than choosing not to steal. I don't think either of those applies to Beltran; he's a much better basestealer than both of them, he isn't injured at all, and hes only gotten better over the past couple years. He's had 4 seasons that he attempted 35 SB's; 1999, 2002, 2003, and 2004. He's been more successful as he's gotten older in each of thsoe seasons. From 77%, to 83%, to 91%, to 93% respectively. I don't see him stealing at a 65% which is what Vlad has in his career, and along with his back injury is probably why he isn't stealing anymore. And I don't see him falling to 57% like Maggs has over the past 2 seasons, because he's on an upward trend, and getting better at stealing bases, not worse.
But we'll see. Maybe he's too risky to take #1 overall but with 30+ HR power and 50 SB capability, and all the runs and RBI that come with being at the top of the Yankees lineup - I can't justify taking anybody else. Maybe I should take Pujols for his consistency, but hell I probably won't have any #1 picks next year anyway