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Jose Lopez - Projecions???

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Jose Lopez - Projecions???

Postby thomasps3 » Tue Nov 23, 2004 11:07 pm

Okay guys, I just traded my 2nd round minor league draft pick for this potential 4 tool SS. What can I expect from him this year? Next year? I think something along the lines of

.265, 14 HRs, 60 RBI, 16 SBs?


Do you think this should be higher or lower? Are you guys liking this 20 yeqar old Seattle prospect or no? Let me know!!!!

Will reply to your inquiry also...
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Postby Amazinz » Tue Nov 23, 2004 11:23 pm

I think he is over-hyped and was promoted too early. He will be overmatched next year if he lasts a full season and will struggle mightily.

I really don't know what his prospects for the future are. You read scouting reports about him that rave about his skills but the numbers don't back up the reports.

Here's a quote from U.S.S. Mariner I found interesting:

Lopez hasn’t followed anything of a normal development path. The scouting report on him has fluctuated between “defensive wiz who might hit” to “terrific bat who can’t field". His top PECOTA comparison is Adrian Beltre, showing obvious potential. Jorge Cantu and Luis Rivas follow in the next two spots, showing obvious risk. Miguel Cabrera follows them. So, the four most comparable players by minor league profile to Lopez are a couple of all-stars who could be hall of famers sandwiched around a busted prospect who is trying to resurrect his career and one of the worst players in Major League Baseball. Lopez defines a high risk, high reward prospect.

Here is the full post which has a lot of good information on him.
Image
Maine has a good swing for a pitcher but on anything that moves, he has no chance. And if it's a fastball, it has to be up in the zone. Basically, the pitcher has to hit his bat. - Mike Pelfrey
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Postby J35J » Wed Nov 24, 2004 4:51 pm

I think they will give him a shot at starting this year but unless they can't go without him I'm betting he goes back down to the minors sometime during the season, probably sooner than later. I base this mostly on the fact that he is 20 and there really isn't many 20 year olds that actually come up and stay up, let alone contribute to a fantasy team! Of course there are some exceptions but a shortstop has alot on his plate to worry about in the Majors, and it isn't often that a 20 year old shortstop can perform well enough offensively and defensively for their respecitve team to keep them up!

To sum it all up, I wouldn't bank on him this year!
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