I do not, do not, do not like Rowand. Does anyone know what precipitated his "breakout?" Because, looking at his minor league stats (and he does have a rather large sample size, relatively ), he shouldn't be this good. I think his swing first, ask questions later mentality (that he carried with him to the bigs) will hurt him next year, and he won't even come close to touching .300.
No love for Mench? What's not to like about the guy? Yes, his splits trend toward beating up on lefthanders, but his OPS against righties was still almost .800 and his stats for 2004 represent a vs. LHP/vs. RHP split that would be typical in a full season. It is a myth that his statline is generated only by feasting off of lefties.
He put up some beautiful numbers in his only to full minor league seasons and plays in a great line-up in a hitters park. Of the guys list, he is the closest thing to a sure-shot, much more so than Morneau.
Extrapolate Morneau's numbers and he and Mench are almost identical. The difference is that Mench has been around for a while and Morneau is three years younger with a lot of promised PT ahead of him. Morneau has the higher ceiling.
That's one way to look at it. The flip side is that Mench has a far greater MLB track record meaning that he is lower-risk and probably better overall value when you consider the ever-growing Morneau bandwagon that will bid up his price in drafts/auctions. Personally, I am always happier with a guy who has actually hit 26 HRs while playing a full season and presumably still has some ceiling left rather than a guy who only projects to perform. I am not denigrating Morneau's potential, just pointing out that sometimes a bird in the hand is better than two in the bush.
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by wkelly91 » Sun Nov 21, 2004 10:33 am 
), he shouldn't be this good. I think his swing first, ask questions later mentality (that he carried with him to the bigs) will hurt him next year, and he won't even come close to touching .300.
