Guillermo Mota - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2015 Fantasy Baseball Cafe

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Guillermo Mota

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

Postby DK » Sun Nov 21, 2004 2:19 pm

eftda wrote:na its cool...

but ya. IMO, the long ball sucks. I love small ball. single... steal... bunt... sac fly.... works all the time if the number one hitter gets on ;-D

Not to hijack the thread, but you'd be surprised how little it actually does work. First, the #1 guy actually has to get on, which happens about 35% of the time. Then, the guy on first has to actually steal successfully, which will happen about 60% of the time. Then, the sac bunt to move him over to third has to go down successfully, which happens about 75% of the time. Fourth, the last hitter has to hit a deep enough fly ball to center-right, which will happen about 15% of the time. If he Simple math tells us that the chance of all that working out is roughly 2%, or twice every nine games.

On a home run, at least one run scores 100% of the time, so I'd rather have one of those than sacrifice the outs.

But I digress...

I don't know enough about Mota's stats, but I do know that Dotel gave up too many HR's last year in Oakland. He'll probably revert to form in 2005.
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle Eye
Posts: 9533
Joined: 22 Mar 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: on deck


Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues

Get Ready...
The 2015 MLB season starts in 19:37 hours
(and 24 days)

  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact