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v. mart projections???

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v. mart projections???

Postby killercars » Thu Nov 11, 2004 10:49 pm

i've asked y'all before about keepers and victor martinez seems to be a consistent stud in everyone's mind...

what kind of numbers does everone expect him to put up...

also, i was watching espn last year (so game of 162)... they actually compared the way he hits to that of manny, pujols and cabrera... is he really up there???

here are my thoughts...

89/34/121/2/.304

too optimistic???

thanks

mike
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Postby Mustangs989 » Thu Nov 11, 2004 11:13 pm

That's too high IMO.
I have him around 300/25/105/80 and I'd be more than pleased if he got me that.
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Postby Baseballer02 » Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:23 am

Mustangs989 wrote:That's too high IMO.
I have him around 300/25/105/80 and I'd be more than pleased if he got me that.


almost exactly the same as mine..I have him at 80/25/110/0/.290
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Postby perlick29 » Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:32 am

IMO the #1 catcher for value next I dont quite have numbers for him except to say better than anyone else's.
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Postby Baseballer02 » Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:33 am

Yes, I also forgot to say he is the top ranked catcher on my spreadsheet.
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Postby GSes » Fri Nov 12, 2004 4:05 am

V-Mart is currently ranked #4 on my cheat sheets

I would project

290 avg
25 HR
100 RBI
80 Runs
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Postby chinch sacs » Fri Nov 12, 2004 7:40 am

Wow...

100 RBIs would be very nice from a catcher, but not at the expense of a 3rd or 4th round pick... I do think he makes a decent keeper though.

I WILL NOT draft a catcher early this season. My main target on draft day is Estrada, but he might be gone before I am willing to pull the trigger also, so, I will look for the buy lows Lieb or even R. Hernandez if he gets out of AbyssCo Park... :-D
Fantasy sports are ruled by the 50-50-90 rule...

Anytime you have a 50/50 choice between two players, 90% of the time, you'll get it wrong
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Postby Erboes » Fri Nov 12, 2004 8:17 am

The thing about Martinez is, he is just a natural hitter. The kid won batting crowns in the minors and will vie for them in the majors as well. He has a short, quick, swing, which should mean he is a consistent .300 hitter starting this year I would wager.

Perhaps this area that surprised me the most was his power, and not just his HR's. He had 38 doubles, and I would guess a third of them were peppered off the OF walls, minimum. This is probably the best indicator of future HR increases, so do not be surprised if he becomes a 35 HR hitter sometime soon.

The best part of it is, his power is independent of his average. Many -maybe even most - hitters have their average decline when their power goes up or vice-versa. This is not the case with Martinez. You may be looking at a .320 hitter with 35+ power when it is all said and done.

I have him at something like .310 with 28 HR's or so, which could be a little low but I doubt if he will be that high.
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Postby Tavish » Fri Nov 12, 2004 9:44 am

Erboes wrote:I have him at something like .310 with 28 HR's or so, which could be a little low but I doubt if he will be that high.


I don't think anyone can argue with a prediction like that. ;-)
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Postby Erboes » Fri Nov 12, 2004 10:00 am

Tavish wrote:
Erboes wrote:I have him at something like .310 with 28 HR's or so, which could be a little low but I doubt if he will be that high.


I don't think anyone can argue with a prediction like that. ;-)


Sorry, bad english. I meant to say that I doubt if that projection will be considered "high". In other words, this could be a conservative projection.
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