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Rankings formula

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Postby J35J » Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:01 pm

As far as formulas and you wanting guys to fit right you should make predictions for all of the guys yourself and then use your formula to calculate off of YOUR predictions, thats how I do it. I don't use my formula to calculate off of last years results. I do it off of my predictions for the up coming year!
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Postby Amazinz » Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:22 pm

J35J wrote:As far as formulas and you wanting guys to fit right you should make predictions for all of the guys yourself and then use your formula to calculate off of YOUR predictions, thats how I do it. I don't use my formula to calculate off of last years results. I do it off of my predictions for the up coming year!

Using the previous year's stats is one way of making sure your ranking system is solid and that there aren't any flaws in your logic. ;-D
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Postby J35J » Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:27 pm

Well of course, I rank based on the last three years or so, but to use a formula off of last years stats doesn't work to well because a guy like D. Wright won't be that high up because he didn't play much. Thats all. ;-D
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Postby dannahann » Sun Nov 14, 2004 8:39 am

LBJackal wrote:
Pogotheostrich wrote:
SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:Those were completely by the stats from last year, (and my apparent misinterpretation of them :*)) I knew this rankings thing was too much work, I just need a dartboard and a list of eligible players. :-° :-D

You could be lazy and use this:

http://fantasybaseball.usatoday.com/ind ... type=rater


That gives you this year's rankings. I think most of us are concerned with how the players will be ranked for next season :-D


Next spring that same link will likely allow ranking per their 2005 projections. They have done so for the past several seasons, anyway? I believe USA Today put out their preseason projections in late Feb and updated once them in mid March the past 2 years.
I'm not vouching for their projections, there is slop in anyone's. I'm just saying you can likely use USA Today's ranking formula based on 2005 projections, if you wish.
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Sun Nov 14, 2004 12:22 pm

J35J wrote:Well of course, I rank based on the last three years or so, but to use a formula off of last years stats doesn't work to well because a guy like D. Wright won't be that high up because he didn't play much. Thats all. ;-D


Yeah I'm finding that out. I tried the .50/.33/.17 approach and the results have been so-so at best so far. :-/
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Thu Nov 18, 2004 1:04 am

OK, here's take two. I realize it needs a little more tweaking -- namely Ortiz and Delgado should be flipped IMO -- and my projections may be a little off, but this list seems a little better. Any thoughts? :-?

Pujols
Delgado
Thome
Helton
Teixeira
Ortiz
Bagwell
Wilkerson
Hafner
Thomas
Green
Morneau
Konerko
Durazo
Nevin
Casey
Pena
Palmeiro
Overbay
Erstad
Lee
Hatteberg
Broussard
Martinez
Young
Hillenbrand
Feliz
Snow
LaRoche
Phelps
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Postby Bloody Nipples » Thu Nov 18, 2004 1:06 am

Wilkerson over Hafner?
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Thu Nov 18, 2004 2:40 am

Bloody Nipples wrote:Wilkerson over Hafner?


Yeah, that one's a little off too I guess. :-° What kind of line are people predicting for Hafner next year? Is 97/31/105/76/.297 (R/HR/RBI/BB/AVG) too low? about right? :-/
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Postby Bloody Nipples » Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:46 pm

seems about right. What are Wilkerson's numbers?
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Postby SaintsOfTheDiamond » Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:50 pm

Bloody Nipples wrote:seems about right. What are Wilkerson's numbers?


I know I'm crazy, but looking at his last two years -- and hopefully with a slightly better lineup around him next year -- I came up with:

102/28/70/98/.260 :-?
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