As far as formulas and you wanting guys to fit right you should make predictions for all of the guys yourself and then use your formula to calculate off of YOUR predictions, thats how I do it. I don't use my formula to calculate off of last years results. I do it off of my predictions for the up coming year!

J35J wrote:As far as formulas and you wanting guys to fit right you should make predictions for all of the guys yourself and then use your formula to calculate off of YOUR predictions, thats how I do it. I don't use my formula to calculate off of last years results. I do it off of my predictions for the up coming year!

Using the previous year's stats is one way of making sure your ranking system is solid and that there aren't any flaws in your logic.

Maine has a good swing for a pitcher but on anything that moves, he has no chance. And if it's a fastball, it has to be up in the zone. Basically, the pitcher has to hit his bat. - Mike Pelfrey

Well of course, I rank based on the last three years or so, but to use a formula off of last years stats doesn't work to well because a guy like D. Wright won't be that high up because he didn't play much. Thats all.

SaintsOfTheDiamond wrote:Those were completely by the stats from last year, (and my apparent misinterpretation of them ) I knew this rankings thing was too much work, I just need a dartboard and a list of eligible players.

That gives you this year's rankings. I think most of us are concerned with how the players will be ranked for next season

Next spring that same link will likely allow ranking per their 2005 projections. They have done so for the past several seasons, anyway? I believe USA Today put out their preseason projections in late Feb and updated once them in mid March the past 2 years.
I'm not vouching for their projections, there is slop in anyone's. I'm just saying you can likely use USA Today's ranking formula based on 2005 projections, if you wish.

J35J wrote:Well of course, I rank based on the last three years or so, but to use a formula off of last years stats doesn't work to well because a guy like D. Wright won't be that high up because he didn't play much. Thats all.

Yeah I'm finding that out. I tried the .50/.33/.17 approach and the results have been so-so at best so far.

OK, here's take two. I realize it needs a little more tweaking -- namely Ortiz and Delgado should be flipped IMO -- and my projections may be a little off, but this list seems a little better. Any thoughts?

Pujols
Delgado
Thome
Helton
Teixeira
Ortiz
Bagwell
Wilkerson
Hafner
Thomas
Green
Morneau
Konerko
Durazo
Nevin
Casey
Pena
Palmeiro
Overbay
Erstad
Lee
Hatteberg
Broussard
Martinez
Young
Hillenbrand
Feliz
Snow
LaRoche
Phelps

Yeah, that one's a little off too I guess. What kind of line are people predicting for Hafner next year? Is 97/31/105/76/.297 (R/HR/RBI/BB/AVG) too low? about right?