New Zealand Fan wrote:Certainly since I have been watching it, the HR Derby is never won by guys like Sosa, Bonds and co. Tino Martinez, Luis Gonzalez, Garet Anderson.
Also look for the guy that hits the most HR's in the 1st round, to crap out when it gets serious. That seems to happen year after year as well. They maybe tire themselves out.
I'm going for one of the longshots this year. Either Berkman or Tejada.
Never won by Bonds, Sosa, and co?
1996- Griffey Jr.
1997- T. Martinez
1998- Griffey Jr.
1999- Griffey Jr.
2001- L. Gonzalez
2003- G. Anderson
5 out of 9 years it was won by Griffey Jr, Sosa or Bonds.
But I agree with you in that I can see unexpected guys winning it as there have been some underdogs like Garrett and Gonzo.
I figured I'd go out on a limb and pick Berk.