Absolutely Adequate wrote:No, of course not. And it's not just other teams prospects, either. I was never high on Reyes or Kazmir, either.
But with minor leaguers, it's difficult to translate their stats accurately. So I form impressions by watching them play (which I've done), looking at their stats (which I've done), and asking around for other opinions (which I'm doing).
And what it boils down to for me is that Upton will be lucky to hit .300, he won't hit 20 home runs, and his steals will top out around 30-35. But it's just a gut feeling right now.
So lets look at this from what you just said.
-Have you seen Upton play? If so, when?
-Looking at Upton's stats how can you say he will be lucky to hit .300 when he has hit .300 at every level and been young for that level every time he did it.
-Asking around, where have you found anyone credible to say Upton won't do all the things you just said he won't? Cause I have heard from some of the best sources and scouts, neither which have said anything that amount to what you just said.
I have nothing wrong w/ people questioning other prospects merits, but if you are you should prolly have more then a "gut feeling" to back it up. Cause those are some strong claims based on nothing.
P.S. I know it is hard to accurately measure how good someone will be based on minor league stats alone. But when someone like Upton has had this much success, it's pretty hard to question it. Maybe you just don't like prospects that get a lot of hype. Cause Upton, Greinke, Kazmir, and Reyes all had tons of hype.