not sure, but my thinking is this: he didn't have a first half of a season this year, so his first half numbers from last year should be closer to what he'll do this second half, considering this will be the first half that he actually plays in. Look, he's hogged the lone DL spot i'm allowed in my league pretty much since week 1, so i've gotta be positive about his return somehow.
"24 hours in a day, 24 beers in a case. Coincidence? I think not."