WhiteHot wrote: beltrans_boy wrote:
Santana's only upside is in Ks and win potential. Odalis is the superior pitcher. And he's less of a headcase, too.
So you're saying to ignore two pitching categories in roto (wins and saves) in comparing pitchers?
I'm assuming you mean K's and not saves. The wins WILL come for Odalis (just take a look at Kaz Ishii, he's got 8 wins, and Perez is EASILY superior to Ishii). Wins are flukey, and it's not like Twins are offensive juggernauts either. Odalis has just been unlucky so far this season. The Dodgers are bad, but not that bad. Odalis will finish the season with 12-15 wins. The dropoff in K's isn't dramatic enough to ignore Odalis' superiority in ALL the other categories. Odalis is an INCREDIBLE pitcher. He's back to his 2002 self. Odalis has more durability (he's proven that he can last an entire major league season as a starter).
Santana is a transformed reliever. I'd love to compare their past stats, but Santana just doesn't have the track record to compare! He wasn't even a starting pitcher for the entire 2003 season. Granted, he's got electric stuff, but I'd like to see him perform at a quality level for an entire season before I put him on the same level as a stud like Perez. Sure, he had electric stuff last season, but nobody knows how he's gonna hold up through 200+ innings. He only started 18 games last season, and he's never pitched more than 158 innings in a season. It'll be interesting to see how Santana holds up in late August and September.
Odalis has pitched 222 innings in 2002, and he pitched 185 in 2003. He's on pace to pitch around 200 this year. His stuff was absolutely electric in 2002 when he won 15 games. He won 12 games last year (when the Dodgers offense was the worst it's been in years), AND his stuff wasn't even close to this year. In 2002, he was one of the most dominant pitchers in the majors, and he's on track to repeat those same numbers here in 2004. The wins will come.
I'm not dogging on Santana (I drafted him this year), but I'm just pointing out the Odalis Perez is the better choice for this year.