Is Fantasy Baseball More Luck or Strategy?

[quickfingerz]

When I win, it's strategy...

when I lose, it's just bad luck (or just injuries)...

I oppose to a previous statement:

in H2H there is far more strategy (especially with a big bench ie: yahoo leagues)... suppose I'm down on stolen bases but well up on every other hitting stat, I can pick up 4 hitters who can run and try to tie or beat my opponent. so you can have pretty decent control of wins, K's, and SB's.

There's also a thing I call "non-illegal roster churning"; when I need wins or K's, I pick up a decent starting pitcher for the next day but I won't drop him until 1 or 2 days before his next start so no one else can pick him up.

[Lofunzo]

It depends on the league type. H2H definitely involves more luck.

[PresHabib]

When I win, it's strategy...

when I lose, it's just bad luck (or just injuries)...

I oppose to a previous statement:

in H2H there is far more strategy (especially with a big bench ie: yahoo leagues)... suppose I'm down on stolen bases but well up on every other hitting stat, I can pick up 4 hitters who can run and try to tie or beat my opponent. so you can have pretty decent control of wins, K's, and SB's.

There's also a thing I call "non-illegal roster churning"; when I need wins or K's, I pick up a decent starting pitcher for the next day but I won't drop him until 1 or 2 days before his next start so no one else can pick him up.

2 things. One, I think loading up on guys to win a category is cheap, I equate that to spot starting/quantity over quality, about which we had a 15 page thread earlier. i think you draft a team that you think will win most of the categories in a week and, for the most part, stick with it. Two, how is that pitching strategy different than churning?

[Scarlett]

Fantasy baseball is like gambling: a rookie always stands a shot at winning, but those who take calculated risks and make methodical and well thought out moves will win a majority of the time over a long sample period. Smart players take calculated risks and make moves with the greatest chance of succeeding over time. They still lose sometimes, but if you play the odds a smart person will ultimately succeed more often than not.

[PresHabib]

Fantasy baseball is like gambling: a rookie always stands a shot at winning, but those who take calculated risks and make methodical and well thought out moves will win a majority of the time over a long sample period. Smart players take calculated risks and make moves with the greatest chance of succeeding over time. They still lose sometimes, but if you play the odds a smart person will ultimately succeed more often than not.

Nice first post!

[blankman]

Fantasy baseball is like gambling: a rookie always stands a shot at winning, but those who take calculated risks and make methodical and well thought out moves will win a majority of the time over a long sample period. Smart players take calculated risks and make moves with the greatest chance of succeeding over time. They still lose sometimes, but if you play the odds a smart person will ultimately succeed more often than not.

Nice first post!

seconded

Welcome Scarlett

[softballjenny]

I think that it's 50% Luck and 50% Strategy. If you get drafted a really bad team - Bad Luck. Yet, you can turn it around a little bit with some strategy. It's a bit of both!

[PresHabib]

I think that it's 50% Luck and 50% Strategy. If you get drafted a really bad team - Bad Luck. Yet, you can turn it around a little bit with some strategy. It's a bit of both!

That's why you should do live drafts. I had a league that was autodrafted last year and it sucked, but the teams I've drafted I've had fun with.