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2003 1-Player Roto

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Postby chinch sacs » Wed Jun 09, 2004 3:25 am

sheffs #'s last year:

126 R, 39 HR, 132 RBI, 18 SB, .330 AVG
Fantasy sports are ruled by the 50-50-90 rule...

Anytime you have a 50/50 choice between two players, 90% of the time, you'll get it wrong
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Postby Bloody Nipples » Wed Jun 09, 2004 3:27 am

Man, I could do the calculations myself and it wouldnt take this long to find out ;-7 . Lets see those results, Tavish.
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Postby Tavish » Wed Jun 09, 2004 3:39 am

Sorry for the delay, somethings popped up that I had to take care of.

Those who guessed Sheffield were correct, and by a rather large margin. Five tool players get the advantage in this kind of setup, simply because a slow power hitter is the equivalant of punting a category.

Top 15
Name-Overall rank-total points (possible 1640)
Sheffield - 1 - 1588
A-Rod - 2 - 1537.5
Nomar - 3 - 1500
Beltran - 4 -1499.5
Bret Boone - 5- 1493.5
Pujols - 6 -1491.5
Soriano - 7- 1479.5
Carlos Lee - 8 - 1468.5
Bonds - 9 - 1466.5
Mag Ordonez - 10 - 1435.5
Abreu -11 - 1431.5
Preston Wilson - 12 - 1427.5
Vernon Wells - 1426
Renteria - 1401.5


Dead last
Rod Barajas - 328 - 127
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Postby Bloody Nipples » Wed Jun 09, 2004 3:43 am

Very interesting. If I am guessing right about what your article will be saying, it will be a very good read. I am looking forward to it already. ;-D
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Postby matmat » Wed Jun 09, 2004 3:56 am

what happens if you include pitching? :) how high does prior mark? how about *cough* bh kim?
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Postby Tavish » Wed Jun 09, 2004 4:00 am

A few other tidbits for more specialized players

SpeedMites
Posednik - 51
Pierre - 101
Crawford - 108

PowerSlugs
Helton -28
Delgado - 42
Lopez - 46
Sosa - 67
Thome -73
Giambi -81
F.Thomas - 93

BoggsClones
Mueller - 68
Jeter - 77
Kendall - 92
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Postby Tavish » Wed Jun 09, 2004 4:02 am

matmat wrote:what happens if you include pitching? :) how high does prior mark? how about *cough* bh kim?


That is where I get to leave off for the follow-up article. Right now the evaluation system I am working on appears to be open ended enough that pitchers should work in fine, its just hammering out the finer details and checking for historical accuracy.
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Postby thehat » Wed Jun 09, 2004 4:55 am

I would guess Gagne would have been the highest rated pitcher. Saves by a huge margin, and his IP were enough to significantly impact WHIP. Plus he racked up K's galore, more than many starters. Absolutely unbelievable year for a closer.
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Postby Tavish » Wed Jun 09, 2004 2:50 pm

thehat wrote:I would guess Gagne would have been the highest rated pitcher. Saves by a huge margin, and his IP were enough to significantly impact WHIP. Plus he racked up K's galore, more than many starters. Absolutely unbelievable year for a closer.


Without running the numbers I would actually guess that a MR would win. Maybe a Hawkins or Marte since they vultured quite a few wins last season and both got a couple of saves to avoid the last place log jam with all the SP. In some ways the tests simulate fantasy baseball ok since being overly dominant in any catergory is not worth alot. Of course there are some major flaws with it (especially when it comes to pitchers) but it is interesting (at least to me) and serves as a decent comparison for the actual evaluation system I am working on.
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