i can already see it now, in a month he'll have 20 or so and you guys will be like, "no way he hits 30, 25 tops, he's going to cool off" if he cools off he'll hit 30, if he doesn't he'll hit 40, look at gonzo right when he hit his power surge a couple of years ago. There were cynics all year and he hit 30, then 57!
In fairness, Gonzo wasn't 39 years old when he hit 57.
Even so, I agree with you, He'd have to cool down to hit fewer than 35 even. I expct that he will cool down, but honestly, he has 14 in 44 games. That's barely more than 1/4 of a season. Note also that MOST of these HRs have come WITHOUT Sexson in the lineup. I doubt that he'll hit 40, but it wouldn't come as a big shock.
Edit: I just want to point out, that it was almost by accident that I picked Finley up this year. I had just completed a two for two deal where I got Sexson immediately after his injury, and Lew Ford was the guy who was "thrown in" to my half of the deal. I very nearly picked up Laynce Nix instead of Finley, but then I figured, well, he did hit 3 HRs a couple of games ago.
I NEVER expected him to do this for me. He Burnitz, Vlad, and Giles are tearing it up in my 4 OF/Util slots.
Who would have thought that the best thing that happened to me in that Sexson trade was that I freed up a roster spot to pick up a guy I had no interest in who currently leads the majors in homers!
Of course I hope Sexson comes back strong too...