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projections for a fenom

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projections for a fenom

Postby WHATWHAT? » Thu May 20, 2004 6:52 pm

What are your projections for Greinke this year? I searched, but couldnt find any. How will he do?
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Postby TheArch1tect » Thu May 20, 2004 9:59 pm

its spelled phenom.
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Postby ajgnydc722 » Thu May 20, 2004 10:01 pm

TheArch1tect wrote:its spelled phenom.


yea
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Postby WHATWHAT? » Thu May 20, 2004 10:04 pm

well, I just had a lapse in concentration. I think thats my first mistake here at the Cafe. BTW, would you mind answering my question? I am expecting for 10 wins, 3.4 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, and an ok number of K's, but I think he could reach 12 wins, 3.2 era and 1.17 WHIP if he does well off the bat. Am I in a fantasy (pardon the pun) world? What is the worst he could do, within reason?
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Postby TheArch1tect » Thu May 20, 2004 10:06 pm

dont understand why you would start Greinke, but hey, maybe its a 30 team league or something.
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Postby WHATWHAT? » Thu May 20, 2004 10:07 pm

I wouldnt start him (unless he starts pitching really well), but I'm just wondering how well he could do. And its a 12 team league, FYI.
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Postby Absolutely Adequate » Thu May 20, 2004 10:08 pm

Apart from the egregious spelling mistake (and I used a word that I'm unsure on the spelling so I'm right there with you, buddy) - my prediction for Greinke is that he's not yet mature enough to handle major league hitting. I think that he'll show flashes of brilliance but overall be mediocre and will be sent down by the all-star break with a 2nd call-up in September.

As for numbers? Let's say 6 starts or so, an era between 4.5 and 5, a higher k/bb ratio than he showed in the minors, and one tremendous blow-up.

I'll still pick him up, just in case I'm wrong.
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Postby Liberty30 » Thu May 20, 2004 10:09 pm

I'd def. pick him up, but give him 2 starts before starting him, IMHO.

;-D

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Postby Tavish » Thu May 20, 2004 10:10 pm

Reaching quite a bit on the numbers I think. If you believe in MLEs (that are proven to be pretty accurate) you would be looking at around a 3.75 ERA 1.28 WHIP and about 6 K/9. The 12 wins might be a reach only because his pitch count will take him out in the 6 or less most often and the Royals bullpen is a disaster. The pitch count is going to be the biggest obstacle for fantasy owners, but for Royals fans he will be outstanding in helping the team.
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Postby WHATWHAT? » Thu May 20, 2004 10:12 pm

Tavish wrote:Reaching quite a bit on the numbers I think. If you believe in MLEs (that are proven to be pretty accurate) you would be looking at around a 3.75 ERA 1.28 WHIP and about 6 K/9. The 12 wins might be a reach only because his pitch count will take him out in the 6 or less most often and the Royals bullpen is a disaster. The pitch count is going to be the biggest obstacle for fantasy owners, but for Royals fans he will be outstanding in helping the team.


I'd take those numbers in a heartbeat. I have a feeling, though, that he will either be incredible or really bad. I would like to think its the former.
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