Not saying he keeps this up, but projecting his stats to a 150 game season gives you
358/21/150 83 Doubles 204 Hits - not so bad - being the season almost a forth over is it to late to use the "he'll cool off" card?
To get just 90 RBI's like a lot of people are saying is only 54 more in about 114 games (probabbly will play 150) thats a RBI every 2.11 games. Right now he has a RBI averaged in EVERY game. This means he would not only have to drop off quite a bit but cut his production in over half!!!
I don't think theres anyway to argue that his average is legit after his minor league stats and instant comparisons to such an unreal basehitter in Grace. This being said - another huge rave on him in his prospect reports was he was automatic in RISP situations. This has been proven to a T earlier in this thread. We all agree Podsednik is an above average leadoff hitter with elite base stealing talent, who will be in scoring Position a lot for that middle of the order, we also all agree that Jenkins and Ginter/Spivey are good hitters that hit a lot of doubles. I magine a Richie Weeks batting second in 3 months? I think it would be stupid to say that his hitting situations are going to go down, which I think with his makeup mean his RBI's will stay constant or fall down to the 120 pace, which is still elite.
As far as homers go, i wouldn't say 20 is his ceiling... maybe this year he might only hit 20, but with that smooth or a swing you cannot say he's going to only hit 20 when he matures (he's only 26 years old!) I've watched about a 100 AB's for him this year since my Twins were idiots with the TV thing and he crushes the ball almost every AB, ever double is almost warning track at least, you can't tell me 15 more of those arnt going to sneak out. The knock on him is that he didn't hit many homers in the minors? Who really did?
Just my 2 cents
My prediction is
325/25/120 --- laugh at the homers all you want, but I have watched him all year and see much more power then the average review is giving him.
PS - one more thing to remember is his protection Wes Helms was having a brutal year - he is heating up real quick this week, also Spivey will be back soon, and you could almost argue that Jenkins is having a slow start.