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Steve Finley: 35+ HR?

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Steve Finley: 35+ HR?

Postby CBMGreatOne » Wed May 12, 2004 5:38 pm

Before you start laughing, I just want to point out that he has had 3 seasons in which he has hit 30+ and he figures to have a good amount of protection in an improved lineup. Is it unreasonable to project that he'll hit 24 more in the remaining approximately 130 games this season. I might even be inclined to believe that this may be an underestimation.

Most of us have seen what Finley is capable of when he's hot, but even bearing that in mind, I really had no interest in drafting him this year on any team. He was dropped however, and when he hit his 3 HRs in one game, my eyebrows were raised. After completing a trade which left me with Lew Ford at Utility, I decided to take a flier on Finley and haven't looked back. His power doesn't look fluky right now, and his HRs don't look cheap. If he can stay healthy and log 550+ ABs, we could be looking at this year's big surprise player.

Incidentally, I don't think anybody is going to give you in a trade a player with as legitimate a chance for success as Finley has this year, so it's in your best interests to ride him out for better or for worse if you have him, and hope he keeps it up.
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Postby planet » Wed May 12, 2004 5:50 pm

are you done? yes? ok...

BWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHHAHH
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HAHAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
AAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
AHAAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
HAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
AHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
HAHAAAHHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAAHHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!

i'm gonna go with 22
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Postby j_d_mcnugent » Wed May 12, 2004 5:52 pm

i look at a lot of split stats and he had a month or so last year where he was on a tear similar to the current one and one of the highest ranked players for that month. the only difference between last year and this year is that his streak occurred at the beginning of the year (so it is more noticeable) instead of the middle of the year. its not unreasonable that he will hit 30+, just unlikely in my opinion. ride him while he is hot and then dump him.
Last edited by j_d_mcnugent on Wed May 12, 2004 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby TheRaven » Wed May 12, 2004 5:52 pm

I dont think it is absurd to think it. I think 30 may be a more realistic number because I do not see him keeping up his current pace, but if he keeps tacking them on like he has been lately, he could still top 30 easy even with a cold stretch later in the season.
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Postby CBMGreatOne » Wed May 12, 2004 6:55 pm

are you done? yes? ok...

BWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHHAHH
HAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
AAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
AHAAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
HAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
AHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
HAHAAAHHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAAHHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!

i'm gonna go with 22


22 is a LOT more of a stretch than 35 at this time. He's rarely posted a number as low as 22 in his career as it is, much less after getting 11 in the first month and a half.

I'm not saying he's going to hit 35, just that it's not that much of a stretch, but if you are serious about 22, then you are the one who deserves that shamefully obnoxious and asinine all caps laughing fit. Very creative though... :-t

Maybe if you took a moment to recognize that he's practially 1/3 of the way there in 1/6 of a season (hell, actually it has pretty much all been in the last two weeks), you'd know better than to react as if I suggested that when Jose Reyes comes back, he'll lead the league in RBI.
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Postby jpbusta » Wed May 12, 2004 7:02 pm

Yea, I respect your opinion and I sure hope it's true because I spot started him yesterday and he hit a grandslam for me ;-D I'm going to keep him for awhile and see how he does. Can't let a hot streak like this just go. :-D
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Postby Spartans Rule » Wed May 12, 2004 7:54 pm

planet wrote:are you done? yes? ok...

BWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHHAHH
HAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
AAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
AHAAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
HAHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHHAHHHAHHHAHHHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAAHHAH
AHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHAAHHAHAHAAHAHHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHA
HAHAAAHHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAAHHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!

i'm gonna go with 22


Well that was insightful. :-t

Finley hit 25 in 2002 and 22 in 2003. This year he's on fire. You really honestly believe that in his last 130 or so games he's only going to hit 11 HRs?

That projection means that Finley will not only have to slow down from his current pace significantly, his performance over the remainder of the season will have to decline significantly from his career standard.

Basically, with no reasoning, you've just suggested that the hottest player in baseball is about to become the coldest player in baseball. And you're laughing at us?
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Postby bladehunter » Thu May 13, 2004 1:30 pm

Finley is Finley, he's as streaky as they come, maybe not as streaky as reggie sanders but still, could he reach 30, sure but he has a history of being red hot and then Ice cold, I picked him up on a flier in one of my leagues, and i'll ride him till he put's up 3 or 4 0-4's, and then dump him or trade him......
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