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Michael Young, sell high?

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Postby RynMan » Sat May 08, 2004 10:29 am

I am one of the people who believes Young will have a great year, but low and behold what do i do today? - sell him high. But come on, a guy offered me Pedro and Jimenez for Young and Harden....i couldnt hit the trade button quick enough. Now i have lined up a guy to do a deal including Pedro for M. Giles or Boone and a pitcher for Pedro (and a lesser player to be named if neccessary). This is how you sell mike young high :-) find someone who will OVERPAY for him and jump on board.
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Postby CubsFan7724 » Sat May 08, 2004 10:34 am

great trade ryn man! If i could get that sort of deal Id do it in a heartbeat. Of course you know what happens now. Pedro tears his rotator cuff, Young is the AL MVP, Kenny Rogers wins the AL cy young and Texas wins the world series. All because you traded him :-D .
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Postby RynMan » Sat May 08, 2004 10:38 am

CubsFan7724 wrote:great trade ryn man! If i could get that sort of deal Id do it in a heartbeat. Of course you know what happens now. Pedro tears his rotator cuff, Young is the AL MVP, Kenny Rogers wins the AL cy young and Texas wins the world series. All because you traded him :-D .


oh yeah of course it does!! its murphys law!!
I was givin my friend alot of crap for picking up Kenny Rogers @ the start of the season....man do i look like a fool right now :-[
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Postby GucciBaseballs » Sat May 08, 2004 10:39 am

CubsFan7724 wrote:alright I'll throw out Sosa since he was 30 that year. That leaves Beltran, Podsednik, M Ramirez, B Giles, Sexson, and Anderson, leaving me with 6. I could find more, but not willing to do the work. Also mike young will not keep up .370, but .300-.330 is believable. 100 runs is a definite possibility, as is maybe 20 homers. 15 SB could happen too. 70-80 RBIs also. RBIs are a crapshoot though because people have to be on base and such, so they are hard to predict.


This my point exactly. You are predicting Young to have increases in every statiscal category. Nonetheless, even if Young spikes in every category (highly unlikely) Jeter's career averages are still better

Jeter's career averages: 122 runs, 17 hrs, 82 rbis, 24 sb, 314 avg
Your Young Projections: 100 runs, 20 hrs, 70-80 rbis, 15 sb, 300-330 avg

Even if Young spikes in every category and has a career year, even if Jeter has an average year, Jeter is still a better FB player. And if Jeter has a better than average year, no contest. :-D

Plus, if you could find some statistical analysis, to prove Young will spike in any category it would be much appreciated. 1 month and 1 week is not enough proof for me. :-?
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Postby CubsFan7724 » Sat May 08, 2004 10:45 am

I only gave a rough estimate on Runs and RBIs, because its really a luck thing. Young could get anywhere from 100-120 runs with the Rangers. I think you have to cut Jeters projections a little bit because of his abysmal start. If jeter doesnt pump up the ba and OBP alot there is no way he scores more runs or knocks in more RBIs than Young though. Theres no point in arguing this anymore, how about we talk about it at the end of the season, and that will settle the argument.
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Postby BronsonPinchot » Sat May 08, 2004 10:52 am

You obviously don't trade Young for Jeter. An even better strategy than 'by low sell high' is 'keep good don't acquire bad'.
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Postby Madbomber » Sat May 08, 2004 10:53 am

Young has been awesome, he is in a great Texas lineup, you would be crazy to trade him 2nd base is a category with only a few great players do not trade this guy!!!! :-t :-t
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Postby shortround_phat2008 » Sat May 08, 2004 11:28 am

For real Young is way better than Jeter.
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Postby GucciBaseballs » Sat May 08, 2004 12:23 pm

i never thought so many people could be persuaded by a fast start :-t

It is a proven method, trade your overachievers for underachievers. That when Young slows down and Jeter heats up I get the better deal ;-D

And don't tell me a career 314 hitter will stay under the mendoza line...

Cubsfan you are right though, we'll see who is better at the end of the season.
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Postby CubsFan7724 » Sat May 08, 2004 12:34 pm

I never said he stay below the mendoza line, but I will say he will hit .280-.290 this year. This will be a bad year for Jeter imo.
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