stumpak wrote:It is the first month of the season--I am not ready to put a stake through a guy who has been a top fantasy performer for a long time based on just one month.
I would agree with this except for three points:
1) Most of us do not have the luxury of waiting a few years to see how everything shakes out. We need to make decision in the here and now and project how they'll look in the future.
2) Marcus was better than Brian last season, so you are not actually just using one month of the season's worth of stats.
3) Brian may be negatively effected by his new ballpark. It's too early to tell for sure, but Brian is already hitting half his average at home and half his slugging percentage as well. I do believe that as the weather warms up the new park will be less pitcher friendly, but I also believe it will never be close to neutral either.
If someone gave me a choice of Brian or Marcus right now I'd say Marcus without a doubt. You are right that 3 weeks isn't enough time to make that judgement, but when you are talking about one season plus those 3 weeks then things start becoming clearer.