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Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

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Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby sjguzin » Sat Aug 10, 2013 8:40 am

Estrada is back from the DL for me and I had Chris Archer picked up for him. Torn on which one to keep or if I should keep both and drop Alex Wood... My pitching staff, in a 15 Teeam Roto, is as follows:

M. Eatrada DL (C. Archer)
M. Baumgardner
Z. Grienke
D. Haren
H. Ryu
C.J. Wilason
A. Wood
H. Street
G. Hollansd

Thanks for any input you may have. Will try to help in Return if anyone has questions of their own...
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Re: Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby Skcl7274 » Sat Aug 10, 2013 10:17 am

I would rather have Archer. I think he has a better upside and he is pitching on the better team.
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Re: Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby BaseballProf » Sat Aug 10, 2013 12:50 pm

Drop Wood.

That said, I like Archer the least of this group. His K rate and BB rate are both worse than Estrada's, who I admit hasn't pitched to a very good ERA this year -- a slightly unlucky 14.7% HR/FB rate is primarily to blame for that. Archer's strikeout rate is over 2 full K/9 worse than Estrada's and his BB rate is higher. He's been touch to square up well on, but the walks are going to catch up with him sooner or later -- .223 BABIP is too low when his batted ball rates profile him as a .280ish BABIP pitcher.

As for Wood, I love his potential this season as long as he stays in Atlanta's rotation, but it remains to be seen what Atlanta does when Maholm gets back from the DL. My gut tells me that Wood gets the axe (pun intended) when Maholm gets back in the next 7-10 days. Maholm has 237 career appearances, and 236 of them have been starts. That doesn't mean he can't pitch out of the bullpen, but I have a hard time imagining Atlanta bumping a healthy Maholm from the rotation. Wood seems like a better bullpen arm anyway. I think he should be in the rotation, but I don't run the Braves.

Summary:

Wood is the best when they're all in the rotation and then Estrada over Archer, but Wood probably won't be starting much longer, so he's the one you have to drop by default.
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Re: Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby sjguzin » Sat Aug 10, 2013 10:31 pm

Makes it a tough move, tonight Wood had 6IP, 2H, 1BB, 0ER & 7k... But I see the logic in dropping Wood. I sleep on it! :-)
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Re: Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby angels7777 » Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:41 am

Maybe consider dropping Haren who the has the least upside of the group.
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Re: Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby BaseballProf » Sun Aug 11, 2013 10:52 am

angels7777 wrote:Maybe consider dropping Haren who the has the least upside of the group.


I missed him before when looking at your question. I would DEFINITELY drop Haren.
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Re: Marco Estrada or Chris Archer

Postby sjguzin » Sun Aug 11, 2013 11:06 am

Really? You'd keep Estrada, Archer & Wood over Haren? Guess I still think of him as the Dan Haren of old and everytime he pitches a good game, I'm hoping he's back. Just a side note, this isn't a keeper league.
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