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James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

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James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

Postby Nerfherders » Mon Jun 24, 2013 4:53 pm

There were some question marks going into the season about Shields move to Kansas City and how it would affect his game - worse defense and higher peripherals. After 16 starts it easy to say he has proven the doubters wrong with how he's pitched this year - 2.92 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 99 K in 111 Innings. If anything he's pitched just about as well as he ever has.

But there is one glaring hole in his game - one biting, gut-wrenching ulcer that no fantasy manager can escape - He has 2 wins in 16 starts. I compare him to Cliff Lee of 2012 because Lee had 6 wins last year despite nearly identical numbers. Through 16 starts Lee had 1 win despite a 3.72 ERA. He finished with 5 wins in his last 14 starts that produced a 2.53 ERA.

Shields has gone 10 straight starts without a win, where he is 0-4 with a 2.87 ERA. The Royals have scored 58 runs in his starts for a run support of 3.62, but in the last 10 starts they have scored 28 runs, for a RS of 2.8. What's more, the Royals are 8-8 in Shields starts and have scored most of their runs AFTER he has left the game tied or behind. The Bullpen is 6-2 when Shields starts. The Royals have won Shields' last 5 starts and he has no wins for any of them.

I have Shields on 2 teams and at this point I pretty much expect a 7IP, 2 ER, 7K, 8 BR no win every time. Very, very frustrating, especially when the rest of my pitching staff on those teams is also win-deprived.
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Re: James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

Postby Tavish » Mon Jun 24, 2013 6:57 pm

It's a testimate to how horrible the Royals offense has been this season. As bad as they have been in Shields starts, they have been even worse in Ervin Santana's starts (3.36 RS) and almost as bad in starts by Guthrie (3.80 RS). So it's not really bad luck by Shields and it isn't something I would expect to get much better as the year goes on.
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Re: James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

Postby jefferey13 » Tue Jun 25, 2013 1:43 am

Butler is one of my keepers. I really wish he would start producing.
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Re: James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

Postby rjforlife » Tue Jun 25, 2013 3:30 am

jefferey13 wrote:Butler is one of my keepers. I really wish he would start producing.



Trading Butler/Strasburg for Zimmerman/Goldy has been wonderful. I was really glad to have that tub of goo off my team. They all stink, I wish I didn't deal Latos for Gordon.
Goldy is King.
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Re: James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

Postby Tavish » Tue Jun 25, 2013 1:24 pm

The Royals are on pace for 88 team homeruns. The last time an AL team hit fewer than 100 homeruns in a season was 1992 (if you discount the 1994 Brewers who hit 99 in a strike shortened season of 113 games). Alex Gordon is on pace to lead the team with 12 HRs. I'm still trying to verify, but this might be the lowest total to lead an AL team since the 1940s.
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Re: James Shields - This year's Cliff Lee

Postby Element » Tue Jun 25, 2013 2:23 pm

Tell me about it. I own Butler, Escobar, Cain & Sal Perez in my money league.
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