Fernandez just struck out Lucas Duda with a dirrtttyyyy 80 mph breaking ball. Followed it up with a 96 mph fastball to start off the next batter. He'll make Buck look foolish with a breaking ball here, too.
Element wrote: Most likely, Fernandez isn't going to pitch deep enough to have a good shot at a win ... if he even gets a lead at all. Gotta go with MadBum. I would not start Grienke right now though. Bad matchup and has hasn't looked right since he came back.
That's not really solid analysis on Fernandez. Not that I'd start him over Bumgarner, but only three times all season has Fernandez failed to pitch 5 innings, and while in April it was due to pitch count, his last start it was simply due to ineffectiveness. He's now thrown as many as 99 pitches in a game, and while he's still being handled with much caution (and rightfully so), the Mets lineup is a hair above AAA level. I imagine he will deal with them pretty handily, and maybe even have a shot at a W because the Mets are starting... Collin McHugh. Still, Bumgarner has pitched well enough in his 4 career starts vsSTL, is the superior and more polished current talent, has pitched relatively well despite some sporadic problems this year, has a better offense behind him, and is pitching the second game in a doubleheader, where some guys may rest for STL, like Yadi, so I'd start him.
Allen Craig, Matt Carpenter on the bench for Game 2 of the Doubleheader. Maybe more. I'm not 100% sure who starts everywhere for them. Surprisingly Yadi is Catching again, and Beltran is starting, though you may see one or both make an early exit.
Fernandez has completed 6 innings just 4 times in 10 starts .... plus, their offense is pretty bad. This isn't a good recipe for wins. He's a play for K's and ratios when the matchup dictates. A win is just gravy for most pitchers, but especially in Fernandez' case.