From the Who's the "I should have seen that coming" guy this year?
thread in the pre-season:
Skin Blues wrote:David Ortiz - He's gonna miss some time but he's coming off back-to-back .400 wOBA seasons, including a .300/.400/.600 abbreviated season in 2012. If he plays 100 games at 80% of that rate he'll be a bargain. Tons of room for profit from a guy still in his prime. If he flops and can't recover from the injury, you lose out on your 17th round pick. That's a gamble I'll make every single time.
Very high on him, and currently reaping the rewards. Risk of injury is still there, but as little risk in performance as anybody.