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Blue Jays shake up

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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Skin Blues » Wed May 01, 2013 2:45 pm

Just as his BABIP isn't sustainable, neither is his K%.You can see a link between the two as well; swinging harder at pitches means you miss more, but when you hit it, you hit it harder (and Rasmus certainly hits the ball hard). I'm sure both of those stats will regress toward his career levels if/when he stops swinging for the fences on every pitch.
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Mookie4ever » Wed May 01, 2013 2:55 pm

Hard to believe that wasn't an error on rasmus last night but I checked the box score and you're right.
Kawasaki is unacceptable at 2nd base.
Also Lawrie played second base in the minors with Milwaukee, he didn't play 3B until he got to Toronto.
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Mookie4ever » Wed May 01, 2013 2:58 pm

Bonifacio breaking out of his slump would cure a lot of this but until that happens I think that something has to be done to shake up this lineup. Lawrie to stay in the leadoff spot.
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby mt99808 » Wed May 01, 2013 2:59 pm

Skin Blues wrote:Just as his BABIP isn't sustainable, neither is his K%.You can see a link between the two as well; swinging harder at pitches means you miss more, but when you hit it, you hit it harder (and Rasmus certainly hits the ball hard). I'm sure both of those stats will regress toward his career levels if/when he stops swinging for the fences on every pitch.


The way he's playing right now the 42% k rate is much more sustainable than the .381 babip. Part of it is swinging for the fences and part of it is pitch selection. His zone swing %, outside zone swing percentage and swing and miss percentages support both theories. How can you keep running a guy out who flat out refuses to change his approach?
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Mookie4ever » Wed May 01, 2013 3:01 pm

mt99808 wrote:
Skin Blues wrote:Just as his BABIP isn't sustainable, neither is his K%.You can see a link between the two as well; swinging harder at pitches means you miss more, but when you hit it, you hit it harder (and Rasmus certainly hits the ball hard). I'm sure both of those stats will regress toward his career levels if/when he stops swinging for the fences on every pitch.


The way he's playing right now the 42% k rate is much more sustainable than the .381 babip. Part of it is swinging for the fences and part of it is pitch selection. His zone swing %, outside zone swing percentage and swing and miss percentages support both theories. How can you keep running a guy out who flat out refuses to change his approach?


because he is sooo coachable
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Skin Blues » Wed May 01, 2013 3:04 pm

mt99808 wrote:
Skin Blues wrote:Just as his BABIP isn't sustainable, neither is his K%.You can see a link between the two as well; swinging harder at pitches means you miss more, but when you hit it, you hit it harder (and Rasmus certainly hits the ball hard). I'm sure both of those stats will regress toward his career levels if/when he stops swinging for the fences on every pitch.


The way he's playing right now the 42% k rate is much more sustainable than the .381 babip. Part of it is swinging for the fences and part of it is pitch selection. His zone swing %, outside zone swing percentage and swing and miss percentages support both theories. How can you keep running a guy out who flat out refuses to change his approach?

Because there are no better alternatives, and even with this bad approach he's been pretty productive, even if part of it is luck. Also: great CF defense. How can you not keep running him out there? If Gose could figure out how to hit then maybe we'd have an alternative but right now and for the near future, he's the best we have by quite a bit.
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby AussieDodger » Wed May 01, 2013 3:04 pm

Why would the hot favourites to win it all mess with perfection? ;-7
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Izenhart » Wed May 01, 2013 3:06 pm

edit: wrong thread ;-7
Last edited by Izenhart on Wed May 01, 2013 3:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Mookie4ever » Wed May 01, 2013 3:08 pm

Skin Blues wrote:
mt99808 wrote:
Skin Blues wrote:Just as his BABIP isn't sustainable, neither is his K%.You can see a link between the two as well; swinging harder at pitches means you miss more, but when you hit it, you hit it harder (and Rasmus certainly hits the ball hard). I'm sure both of those stats will regress toward his career levels if/when he stops swinging for the fences on every pitch.


The way he's playing right now the 42% k rate is much more sustainable than the .381 babip. Part of it is swinging for the fences and part of it is pitch selection. His zone swing %, outside zone swing percentage and swing and miss percentages support both theories. How can you keep running a guy out who flat out refuses to change his approach?

Because there are no better alternatives, and even with this bad approach he's been pretty productive, even if part of it is luck. Also: great CF defense. How can you not keep running him out there? If Gose could figure out how to hit then maybe we'd have an alternative but right now and for the near future, he's the best we have by quite a bit.


You want to keep Rasmus out there because he is lucky?
The Jays are losing. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.
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Re: Blue Jays shake up

Postby Skin Blues » Wed May 01, 2013 3:27 pm

And making drastic changes based on a month's worth of data is completely sane, right? How small does the sample need to delineate between SSS over-reaction and insanity?

Maybe you missed the point I made, which is I want to leave Rasmus in there because we don't have anybody better than him for CF. The fact that you suggest Gose should be called up to start in the OF and we should shuffle around Bautista and Lawrie to play out of position is far more insane than trusting a veteran team to recover from a bad start.
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