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4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

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4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby wrveres » Wed Apr 24, 2013 6:25 am

Howie Kendrick hit the team's second walk-off home run in three days, a solo shot to center that gave the Angels a 5-4, 11-inning victory over the Texas Rangers. Kendrick, who hit a run-scoring single in the first and a two-run homer in the fourth, came through with his game-winner in the 11th.

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Need a Catcher?
Toronto
J.P. Arencibia – All he does is hit home runs and that’s fine with me. Somehow he’s still available in 40% of ESPN leagues. I wouldn’t bet against him hitting 30 homers this year, albeit with a low OBP, but you wouldn’t complain about a .500 slugging, would you?
Cincy
Devin Mesoraco will step into the starters role in the wake of the Cincinnati Reds placing Ryan Hanigan on the 15-day disabled list. Presently Mesoraco is hitting .281 with an even 6:6 K/BB ratio. He is yet to hit a home run this year, but playing half of his games in a very favorable park for right-handed hitters, the dingers will come with time. He slugged five home runs in not even 200 PA’s last season so the power is there for more long balls to come with more playing time. If he hits and receives well enough in Hanigans stead, Mesoraco could wrestle more playing time away from the veteran. For those of you in two catcher leagues, Mesoraco is ownabled as long as Hanigan is out. You can find Mesoraco available in over 90% of the three major fantasy websites.
Bottom of the 9th
Edward Mujica has been given a shot at closing. I called Mujica a sleeper for saves last week in this space, and he’s notched the last two saves for the Cardinals, with the most recent coming Monday. He’s given up just one run on five hits and one walk in 7.1 innings this year while striking out eight, making him the strongest performer of the three late-inning guys on the team. Mujica has a history of excellent control, having held his walk rate under 2.0 per nine innings each season since 2008. There are two knocks against him: he gives up far too many home runs and his strikeout rate vacillates between being strong and mediocre. However, if his batted ball profile can level out to its levels over the last few years, when he’s limited the number of fly balls surrendered, he should be a reliable ninth-inning guy who gives up the occasional home run. If Motte gets shelved for the rest of the year after being re-evaluated, Mujica could have a very valuable fantasy season.
Bullpen Report
Fernando Rodney allowed five earned runs in 2012. In 2013 Rodney has now allowed four, including one tonight against the Yankees. Before 2012, Rodney’s career BB/9 was 4.9, last year that dropped to 1.81 and this year it’s 8.1. I’m not sounding the alarm on Rodney quite yet, but his control is certainly something to look out for. If it doesn’t improve and Rodney reverts closer to his pre-2012 form, it’s unlikely that he’ll hold onto the job all year. Joel Peralta is worth owning for his ratios and with Rodney’s seemingly under the radar problems thus far this year, I’d take a flier on Peralta.

Darling of the Waiver Wire
As an injury replacement for Aramis Ramirez or a stopgap until Brett Lawrie gets his feet under him, Chris Johnson is probably the best bet out there. He’s hotter than a two dollar pistol at a time when many of the top third baseman aren’t providing a lot of value, but this is probably as close to his peak value as he’ll get this season. Unless someone hitting .280 with 11 HR is going to be the difference between winning and losing this season, he’s not worth emptying the free agent coffers for, and if you can find decent value for him, trade him.
How long until Félix Hernández wins another 100
It took him four tries, but Monday night Félix Hernández finally picked up his 100th win. What's particularly notable about this feat is that Hernández is particularly young for such a feat. According to Elias: Among pitchers who began their career since divisional play began in 1969, only five reached 100 wins at a younger age than Hernandez (27 years, 14 days old):
Where Have All The Stolen Bases Gone
Teams ran a lot in the 1990s, as the influences of 1980s-style baseball continued, but then stolen base rates plummeted as home run rates rose and teams began to adjust to a new level of offensive success. The league stolen base rate bottomed out in 2004, and then started to climb again the last few years as the rise in strikeouts pushed offensive levels back down to pre-”Steroid Era” levels. While overall attempts hadn’t quite gotten back to where they were in the mid-1990s, they were close, and seemed to be trending upwards

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Head-to-Head Risers and Fallers for Week 4
Michael Morse is someone that you hopefully stayed away from in points leagues, as a high-strikeout, low-walking fool with a knack for prolonged slumps. After hitting six home runs in his first nine games, Morse is 5-for-35 with no home runs, nine strikeout and two walks in his last eight. I believe in the power and still see 30 home runs coming from the Seattle lumberjack, but it's not enough to make up for the 26.7 percent strikeout rate and four percent walk rate that he currently holds. After a 0-for-5 last night against Brad Peacock and the Astros, Morse is hitting .214/.267/.500. He has one run and one RBI in his last eight games. The time to sell Morse is gone, so now you'll have to hope for another hot streak of home runs. When that time comes, sell, sell, sell!
Roto Arcade
Milwaukee skipper Ron Roenicke is giving Jean Segura plenty of chances to run; Segura has a swipe in four consecutive games (Friday night's running mishap didn't stem the tide at all). Batting eye hasn't been an issue (five walks, two in the past two games), the contact rate is solid (84 percent), and obviously you're going to score plenty of runs if you get on base in front of Ryan Braun and company. What's not to like here? Time for a new Segura projection, amigos. It's mulligan time. Let's put him down for a finishing line of .283-89-7-48-33. He'll end the year close to universally owned, though he's oddly unclaimed in 41 percent of Yahoo! leagues as we go to press
Sample Size
It is well know amongst fantasy circles that Petco Park is one of the best pitchers parks in baseball, so when streaming a starting pitcher, you made sure you streamed a pitcher slate to start at Petco in the hope that you would get a quality start. Over the last few seasons, it has been very difficult to hit a home run in Petco. Here is how Petco ranked amongst the 29 other stadiums over the last 5 years in home runs allowed, courtesy of the Ballpark Factors at ESPN:
  • 2008: 30th
  • 2009: 29th
  • 2010: 22nd
  • 2011: 23rd
  • 2012: 28th
  • 2013: 4th
Wheeler
Kevin Kernan of the New York Post spoke to a Mets official during last night’s 7-2 loss to the Dodgers and the subject of Mets prospect Zack Wheeler came up after an injured Jon Niese came out of the game and potential options were discussed. “If Zack Wheeler wants to be here, start throwing strikes,” a Mets official told The Post. “I don’t want to hear about anything else. Throw strikes.’’ This is still a production oriented game, added Kernan, and Wheeler simply does not deserve to be promoted at this point. “Yes, he has a golden right arm, but it’s time to transform that talent into forcing the Mets’ hand.” Wheeler, who is still winless, has a 4.91 ERA in four starts for Triple-A Las Vegas and has allowed 12 walks and 20 hits in 18.1 innings pitched.


Todays Games:
Blue Jays (8-13) @ Orioles (12-8), 12:35 pm
TOR: Brandon Morrow (28, RHP, 0-2, 5.57)
BAL: Josh Stinson (25, RHP, 0-0, undef)

Mariners (8-14) @ Astros (6-14), 2:10 pm
SEA: Joe Saunders (32, LHP, 1-2, 4.50)
HOU: Lucas Harrell (28, RHP, 1-2, 4.98)

Indians (8-10) @ WhiteSox (7-12), 2:10 pm
CLE: Zach McAllister (25, RHP, 1-2, 3.12)
CHW: Jose Quintana (24, LHP, 1-0, 2.55)

Athletics (13-8) @ RedSox (13-7), 4:05 pm
OAK: Brett Anderson (25, LHP, 1-3, 5.95)
BOS: Jon Lester (29, LHP, 3-0, 1.73)

Royals (10-7) @ Tigers (9-9), 7:08 pm
KCR: Wade Davis (27, RHP, 2-0, 2.25)
DET: Max Scherzer (28, RHP, 1-0, 2.84)

Yankees (11-8) @ Rays (9-11), 7:10 pm
NYY: Andy Pettitte (41, LHP, 3-0, 2.01)
TBR: Alex Cobb (25, RHP, 2-1, 2.53)

Rangers (13-7) @ Angels (8-11), 10:05 pm
TEX: Yu Darvish (26, RHP, 3-1, 2.03)
LAA: Michael Roth (23, LHP, 1-0, 3.60)

Cubs (6-13) @ Reds (12-9), 12:35 pm
CHC: Jeff Samardzija (28, RHP, 1-3, 3.38)
CIN: Mat Latos (25, RHP, 0-0, 2.73)

Cardinals (12-8) @ Nationals (10-10), 1:05 pm
STL: Jaime Garcia (26, LHP, 1-1, 3.22)
WSN: Stephen Strasburg (24, RHP, 1-3, 2.96)

Braves (15-5) @ Rockies (13-7), 3:10 pm
ATL: Tim Hudson (37, RHP, 2-1, 4.50)
COL: Tyler Chatwood (23, RHP, 0-0, undef)

D'backs (11-9) @ Giants (13-8), 3:45 pm
ARI: Ian Kennedy (28, RHP, 1-2, 5.47)
SFG: Madison Bumgarner (23, LHP, 3-0, 2.05)

Pirates (11-9) @ Phillies (9-12), 7:05 pm
PIT: Wandy Rodriguez (34, LHP, 2-0, 0.56)
PHI: Roy Halladay (36, RHP, 2-2, 6.04)

Dodgers (9-10) @ Mets (9-9), 7:10 pm
LAD: Ted Lilly (37, LHP, 0-0, undef)
NYM: Matt Harvey (24, RHP, 4-0, 0.93)

Brewers (11-8) @ Padres (5-15), 10:10 pm
MIL: Marco Estrada (29, RHP, 2-0, 4.50)
SDP: Edinson Volquez (29, RHP, 0-3, 8.84)
wrveres
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby wingman3110 » Wed Apr 24, 2013 7:12 am

I am absolutely loving having both Segura and Braun on one of my teams. Getting a healthy dose of all 5 roto stats.
"Just be you. You is enough." - Coach K
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby bigh0rt » Wed Apr 24, 2013 7:29 am

Happy Matthew Edward Harvey Day.
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby AussieDodger » Wed Apr 24, 2013 7:31 am

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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby bigh0rt » Wed Apr 24, 2013 7:59 am

Do we wait and see if Leyland is speaking the gospel, or just drop Benoit now?
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby bigh0rt » Wed Apr 24, 2013 8:42 am

Damn you Julio Teheran for pitching just well enough for me to keep you on my team for at least another 10 days...
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby rjforlife » Wed Apr 24, 2013 9:03 am

Ok Hort, I've been fielding offers for Strasburg, and I've been offered Harvey/Goldschmidt for Strasburg/Butler in a keeper. Harvey would be 11 bucks next year and Stras 20. Goldy 14, Butler 17.



I've got Strasburg/Latos in the early games, a W or two would be nice, although I won't root against my Cardinals.
Goldy is King.
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby bigh0rt » Wed Apr 24, 2013 9:08 am

rjforlife wrote:Ok Hort, I've been fielding offers for Strasburg, and I've been offered Harvey/Goldschmidt for Strasburg/Butler in a keeper. Harvey would be 11 bucks next year and Stras 20. Goldy 14, Butler 17.
That seems like a relatively fair offer, especially if Butler doesn't retain 1B eligibility. I've been a big Country Breakfast guy the last few years, but was down on him more than most going into this year, and I think this is the first year I haven't had him in 3 seasons. Goldschmidt, on the other hand, I love, and am actively trying to trade for. Strasburg is a much safer bet than Harvey for production, obviously, but how worried are you about Strasburg's health? That's what it would come down to for me, I think. I'm very tempted by the prospect, though, of saving $12 and getting similar, if not potentially better, production both this season and in the future.

I think I'd need to see Harvey keep this up a little longer before I'd be fully comfortable with this, though, or need a little something else to sweeten it further on my end.
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby AussieDodger » Wed Apr 24, 2013 9:25 am

1. "The Archer" has been a bit le suck for Tampa Bay, save vultures cast your beady eyes towards Joel Peralta. :-L

2. Who woulda thought my mosquito squad of Villanueva and Corbin would be dominant, and my (allegedly drunken) ace Gallardo would have the insipid outing?

3. Happy Anzac Day for tomorrow kiddies ;-D Wear a poppy etc
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Re: 4/24 Cheering, Venting and this is Howie do it.

Postby Ender » Wed Apr 24, 2013 9:50 am

I'm not sure Segura will keep batting 2nd once Weeks starts to hit and Aramis and Hart are back. That is the best offense in the NL once it is healthy though so he'll still get some decent R+RBI.
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Thursday, Apr. 24
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indoors
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