Nice article on fangraphs about Segura
. Summary: they think he's been a little lucky with some of his HRs and BABIP, but the drop off won't be huge. They're predicting something like 15ish HRs and 35-40 SBs for the season.
The comments on the article are interesting. I'm pretty intrigued that he's hitting HRs to the opposite field. Even though they note that several of his HRs are rated as 'just enough' (and predict will turn into more doubles and triples), these are still hit pretty damn far (i.e., to center, not dinking over at the edges). I'm expecting something like 15 HRs and 40 SB with a .300 average. That'd put him right near the top of SS for the season.
I'm just thrilled I drafted him in the 22nd round. Can keep him for a 20th round pick in 2014, 18th in 2015, etc.
"The game has a cleanness. If you do a good job, the numbers say so. You don't have to ask anyone or play politics. You don't have to wait for the reviews." - Sandy Koufax