Ender wrote:Yeah I have no problem with someone being conservative, I just had an issue with your specific example. Heyward projected as someone who was going to struggle to display power (Hosmer does too as an example) while Harper points directly to a pure power hitter.
Heyward may not have gotten higher marks on the 20-80 power scale, but he graded out just fine himself. His frame, swing, and plate discipline were additional indicators to supplement his natural power. Heyward was and remains a threat to flirt with 40 HR in a season several times throughout his career.
You did make the point that Heyward put the ball on the ground a lot in his rookie season, and batted ball percentages certainly do need to be factored in. You can gather a lot from one season, but it's still a small sample size. Early in careers those stats tend fluctuate a bit before they begin to stabilize.