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Who will win the AL East? - Blue Jays 55%

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Who will win the AL east?

Poll ended at Thu Mar 28, 2013 3:14 pm

NY Yankees
1
2%
Baltimore
3
7%
Tampa Bay
13
30%
Toronto
24
55%
Boston
3
7%
 
Total votes : 44

Who will win the AL East? - Blue Jays 55%

Postby Mookie4ever » Tue Mar 26, 2013 3:14 pm

Who will win the AL East?
Poll stays open for 2 days.
Central divisions go up on Wednesday.
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby soxfan364 » Tue Mar 26, 2013 3:45 pm

I going with Toronto, but I could make an argument for anyone in the AL East
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby Ender » Tue Mar 26, 2013 3:50 pm

I don't have a strong feeling about it but I picked the Rays since they have the best pitching. I know everyone is going to pick the Blue Jays but that rotation could still be pretty awful and there are a lot of little injury question marks on that lineup.
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby wrveres » Tue Mar 26, 2013 3:55 pm

Ender wrote: I picked the Rays since they have the best pitching.
;-D
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby Pogotheostrich » Tue Mar 26, 2013 4:30 pm

I like the Rays. They have the depth to compete even if everything doesn't go just right. I can't say the same for the other teams in the division.
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby deerayfan072 » Tue Mar 26, 2013 9:57 pm

wrveres wrote:
Ender wrote: I picked the Rays since they have the best pitching.
;-D


;-D
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby bigh0rt » Tue Mar 26, 2013 10:22 pm

soxfan364 wrote:I going with Toronto, but I could make an argument for anyone in the AL East

Yankees are a real hard sell :-)

I'm taking Tampa FTW.
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby GiantsFan14 » Tue Mar 26, 2013 10:36 pm

Gogo Jays. First year I'll be actively rooting for an AL team.
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby OBPlover » Tue Mar 26, 2013 10:58 pm

Rays have the best pitching...? no, no they don't.

Yeah OK David Price n#1. But the team is overall a major benefactor of their stadium, with consistent, year after year of highly favorable home/road splits. They lose James Shields and Wade Davis (though Davis probably doesn't duplicate his 2012 season anyways) and no Fernando Rodney isn't going to repeat the most dominant closer season in history.

After Price, you have Hellboy as n#2 and we all know Hellboy's peripherals are truly garbage. Unreliable. Then you have Matt Moore who could be an ace. However, as for right now, he walks way too many batters, He has shown no control in the spring. Could turn it around but no matter how well you throw...if you fall behind major league hitters you are going to get roughed up. Then you have Archer/Niemann/Cobb who have the most injury riddled track record or general inconsistency.

No sir...they do not have the best pitching. Jays have better pitching. Yeah there are a number of risks for the Jays pitching too but the upside on JJ and Morrow is just too high. Even if you concede the Jays' pitching, there is no way it is worth the difference on offense.
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Re: Who will win the AL East?

Postby Skin Blues » Wed Mar 27, 2013 12:14 am

The Rays had the best pitching in the league last year, even after adjusting for their park. The defense helps out a lot, sure, but it'll be great this year too. Shields was good, but they have the arms to replace him. Cobb, Archer, Fauxto. They'll cobble together a 5th starter. And Hellickson has a 2.96 ERA in 64 career starts. At some point you need to look at the results instead of using estimators. He's not the 4.5 ERA guy his xFIP suggests.

Their offense is also not nearly as bad as it seems based on their run totals. The aforementioned park does a lot to suppress them. By wRC+ they were a top 5 offense last year. Having Longoria for a full season would go a long way to maintaining that. With the best rotation and one of the best bullpens in the league, they could easily win the division with a middle of the pack offense.

But of course, I picked the Jays. If they have luck with health I think they're the best team pretty clearly. There are lots of injury concerns though with JJ, Morrow, Santos, Janssen, Bautista and Lawrie. Will Edwin repeat? Is Melky off the PEDs? Is Rasmus ready to contribute? Will Romero work his way up from High-A ball any time? So many questions, but the amount of talent is so immense that I can't bring myself to vote for another team.
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